Record domestic opening of $360 million and subsequent daily records, including the biggest Monday and Tuesday hauls in history, have propelled Spider-Man: Brand New Day past $449 million domestically in its first week, driving the 78.3% market-implied probability on a $900 million-plus total by August 31. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal near-term competition, and rapid global momentum exceeding $1.1 billion worldwide in six days reinforce trader expectations of sustained legs through the month. Historical precedents for tentpoles with similar debuts and audience scores support continued outperformance, though August tracking updates and any late shifts in theater availability could influence final brackets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour"Spider-Man : Brand New Day" total brut national d'ici le 31 août ?
"Spider-Man : Brand New Day" total brut national d'ici le 31 août ?
900M+ 78.4%
800 - 900 millions 19%
700 - 800 millions 2.7%
600 - 700 millions <1%
$333,032 Vol.
$333,032 Vol.
31 août 2026
<400 millions
<1%
400 - 500 millions
<1%
500 - 600 millions
<1%
600 - 700 millions
1%
700 - 800 millions
3%
800 - 900 millions
19%
900M+
78%
900M+ 78.4%
800 - 900 millions 19%
700 - 800 millions 2.7%
600 - 700 millions <1%
$333,032 Vol.
$333,032 Vol.
31 août 2026
<400 millions
$5,823 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500 millions
$19,327 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600 millions
$24,674 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700 millions
$24,653 Vol.
1%
700 - 800 millions
$22,347 Vol.
3%
800 - 900 millions
$36,604 Vol.
19%
900M+
$199,603 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Record domestic opening of $360 million and subsequent daily records, including the biggest Monday and Tuesday hauls in history, have propelled Spider-Man: Brand New Day past $449 million domestically in its first week, driving the 78.3% market-implied probability on a $900 million-plus total by August 31. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal near-term competition, and rapid global momentum exceeding $1.1 billion worldwide in six days reinforce trader expectations of sustained legs through the month. Historical precedents for tentpoles with similar debuts and audience scores support continued outperformance, though August tracking updates and any late shifts in theater availability could influence final brackets.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$333,032Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Record domestic opening of $360 million and subsequent daily records, including the biggest Monday and Tuesday hauls in history, have propelled Spider-Man: Brand New Day past $449 million domestically in its first week, driving the 78.3% market-implied probability on a $900 million-plus total by August 31. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal near-term competition, and rapid global momentum exceeding $1.1 billion worldwide in six days reinforce trader expectations of sustained legs through the month. Historical precedents for tentpoles with similar debuts and audience scores support continued outperformance, though August tracking updates and any late shifts in theater availability could influence final brackets.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$333,032Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Record domestic opening of $360 million and subsequent daily records, including the biggest Monday and Tuesday hauls in history, have propelled Spider-Man: Brand New Day past $449 million domestically in its first week, driving the 78.3% market-implied probability on a $900 million-plus total by August 31. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal near-term competition, and rapid global momentum exceeding $1.1 billion worldwide in six days reinforce trader expectations of sustained legs through the month. Historical precedents for tentpoles with similar debuts and audience scores support continued outperformance, though August tracking updates and any late shifts in theater availability could influence final brackets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 920m and 940m by August 31?
43%
Le box-office du deuxième week-end de "Spider-Man : Un jour nouveau" sera-t-il inférieur à 130 millions ?
43%
Oui
Le total des recettes nationales pour L'Odyssée sera-t-il d'au moins 350 millions d'ici le 31 août ?
99%
Oui
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