The recent live streaming of the Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano MMA fight on May 16 has propelled it to an overwhelming 82% implied probability as the likely #2 U.S. Netflix title this week, driven by the event’s global hype, star power, and real-time engagement spikes typical of premium live sports on the platform. This positions the bout well ahead of ongoing true-crime momentum from Worst Ex Ever: Season 2, which debuted earlier in May and continues to draw steady documentary viewers. Newer scripted arrivals such as Nemesis and Legends: Season 1, along with holdovers like Man on Fire and Should I Marry A Murderer?, remain distant contenders with single-digit odds, reflecting limited recent buzz or chart traction. With the fight’s afterglow still fresh and no major new premieres scheduled immediately, traders see little near-term catalyst capable of disrupting this clear frontrunner status before the week’s rankings lock.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano 86%
Worst Ex Ever: Season 2 8%
Nemesis 1.3%
La Brea: Season 3 <1%
$12,193 Vol.
$12,193 Vol.

Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano
86%

Worst Ex Ever: Season 2
8%

Nemesis
1%

La Brea: Season 3
1%

Devil May Cry: Season 2
1%

Legends: Season 1
1%

Lord of the Flies
1%

Should I Marry A Murderer?
1%

Funny AF with Kevin Hart
<1%

Man on Fire
<1%
Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano 86%
Worst Ex Ever: Season 2 8%
Nemesis 1.3%
La Brea: Season 3 <1%
$12,193 Vol.
$12,193 Vol.

Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano
86%

Worst Ex Ever: Season 2
8%

Nemesis
1%

La Brea: Season 3
1%

Devil May Cry: Season 2
1%

Legends: Season 1
1%

Lord of the Flies
1%

Should I Marry A Murderer?
1%

Funny AF with Kevin Hart
<1%

Man on Fire
<1%
This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : May 13, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The recent live streaming of the Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano MMA fight on May 16 has propelled it to an overwhelming 82% implied probability as the likely #2 U.S. Netflix title this week, driven by the event’s global hype, star power, and real-time engagement spikes typical of premium live sports on the platform. This positions the bout well ahead of ongoing true-crime momentum from Worst Ex Ever: Season 2, which debuted earlier in May and continues to draw steady documentary viewers. Newer scripted arrivals such as Nemesis and Legends: Season 1, along with holdovers like Man on Fire and Should I Marry A Murderer?, remain distant contenders with single-digit odds, reflecting limited recent buzz or chart traction. With the fight’s afterglow still fresh and no major new premieres scheduled immediately, traders see little near-term catalyst capable of disrupting this clear frontrunner status before the week’s rankings lock.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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