Mortgage rates, which track the 10-year Treasury yield plus a spread influenced by investor demand for mortgage-backed securities, currently hover near 6.3-6.5% as of mid-May 2026 after easing modestly from early-year levels near 6.4%. Persistent inflation readings and elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions have kept the Federal Reserve on hold, limiting further declines in the federal funds rate and supporting higher long-term yields. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project the 30-year average to finish the year between 6.1% and 6.3%, with limited volatility expected absent sharper cooling in CPI or labor-market softening. Key near-term catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases, which could shift Treasury yields and trader-implied probabilities on whether rates breach key thresholds this year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe taux hypothécaire à 30 ans atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ?
Le taux hypothécaire à 30 ans atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ?
$49,755 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
↑ 7,00 %
35%
↑ 6,75 %
45%
↑ 6,50 %
85%
↓ 5,90 %
52%
↓ 5,70 %
43%
↓ 5,50 %
47%
$49,755 Vol.
↑ 7,00 %
$26 Vol.
35%
↑ 6,75 %
$118 Vol.
45%
↑ 6,50 %
$6,700 Vol.
85%
↓ 5,90 %
$6,005 Vol.
52%
↓ 5,70 %
$6,769 Vol.
43%
↓ 5,50 %
$25 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Mortgage rates, which track the 10-year Treasury yield plus a spread influenced by investor demand for mortgage-backed securities, currently hover near 6.3-6.5% as of mid-May 2026 after easing modestly from early-year levels near 6.4%. Persistent inflation readings and elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions have kept the Federal Reserve on hold, limiting further declines in the federal funds rate and supporting higher long-term yields. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project the 30-year average to finish the year between 6.1% and 6.3%, with limited volatility expected absent sharper cooling in CPI or labor-market softening. Key near-term catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases, which could shift Treasury yields and trader-implied probabilities on whether rates breach key thresholds this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volume
$49,755Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Mortgage rates, which track the 10-year Treasury yield plus a spread influenced by investor demand for mortgage-backed securities, currently hover near 6.3-6.5% as of mid-May 2026 after easing modestly from early-year levels near 6.4%. Persistent inflation readings and elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions have kept the Federal Reserve on hold, limiting further declines in the federal funds rate and supporting higher long-term yields. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project the 30-year average to finish the year between 6.1% and 6.3%, with limited volatility expected absent sharper cooling in CPI or labor-market softening. Key near-term catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases, which could shift Treasury yields and trader-implied probabilities on whether rates breach key thresholds this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Volume
$49,755Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mortgage rates, which track the 10-year Treasury yield plus a spread influenced by investor demand for mortgage-backed securities, currently hover near 6.3-6.5% as of mid-May 2026 after easing modestly from early-year levels near 6.4%. Persistent inflation readings and elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions have kept the Federal Reserve on hold, limiting further declines in the federal funds rate and supporting higher long-term yields. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project the 30-year average to finish the year between 6.1% and 6.3%, with limited volatility expected absent sharper cooling in CPI or labor-market softening. Key near-term catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases, which could shift Treasury yields and trader-implied probabilities on whether rates breach key thresholds this year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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