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Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

icon for Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

$49,659 Vol.

31 juil. 2026
Polymarket

$49,659 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$26,019 Vol.

1%

July 31

$218 Vol.

5%

December 31

$23,422 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Tensions in China-Japan relations have shaped trader views on the likelihood of another Xi Jinping–Sanae Takaichi bilateral meeting by the end of 2026. The leaders held their first summit on the sidelines of the October 2025 APEC meeting in Gyeongju, reaffirming a mutually beneficial strategic relationship while Takaichi raised concerns over East China Sea activities. Relations deteriorated sharply afterward following Takaichi’s parliamentary remarks linking a Taiwan contingency to Japan’s security legislation, prompting Chinese protests, travel advisories, trade restrictions, and public criticism from Xi during his May 2026 discussions with U.S. President Trump. Recent reporting highlights persistent friction at forums such as the Shangri-La Dialogue and uncertainty over any repeat encounter at the planned November 2026 APEC summit, with analysts noting limited near-term diplomatic openings amid ongoing strategic rivalry.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$49,659
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Tensions in China-Japan relations have shaped trader views on the likelihood of another Xi Jinping–Sanae Takaichi bilateral meeting by the end of 2026. The leaders held their first summit on the sidelines of the October 2025 APEC meeting in Gyeongju, reaffirming a mutually beneficial strategic relationship while Takaichi raised concerns over East China Sea activities. Relations deteriorated sharply afterward following Takaichi’s parliamentary remarks linking a Taiwan contingency to Japan’s security legislation, prompting Chinese protests, travel advisories, trade restrictions, and public criticism from Xi during his May 2026 discussions with U.S. President Trump. Recent reporting highlights persistent friction at forums such as the Shangri-La Dialogue and uncertainty over any repeat encounter at the planned November 2026 APEC summit, with analysts noting limited near-term diplomatic openings amid ongoing strategic rivalry.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$49,659
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Questions fréquentes

« Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « December 31 » à 36%, suivi de « July 31 » à 5%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 36¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...? » a généré $49.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 23, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...? » est « December 31 » à 36%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « July 31 » à 5%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.