The 2026 World Cup remains in its opening phase, with most squads having played one match or fewer, leaving disciplinary records nearly identical and fair play standings wide open. This has produced tightly bunched trader consensus around 50% for several leading outcomes, as yellow-card totals stay low across the field and no team has separated itself through repeated fouls or send-offs. Norway, Japan, and Croatia sit slightly ahead of the pack on historical clean-sheet tendencies and recent qualifying form, yet even these edges remain modest given the long schedule ahead and the potential for one late red card or multiple bookings to reorder the leaderboard. The competitive balance reflects both the early timing and the narrow margins typical of fair play races.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCoupe du monde : Lauréat du prix du fair-play
Norway 23.4%
Japan 17.4%
Belgium 16.3%
France 16%
$51,509 Vol.
$51,509 Vol.
Norway
23%
Japan
19%
Belgium
16%
France
10%
Spain
15%
Mexico
20%
Brazil
7%
Iran
6%
England
5%
Germany
5%
Argentina
5%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
4%
United States
3%
Netherlands
3%
Portugal
7%
South Korea
2%
Croatia
23%
Uzbekistan
2%
Switzerland
1%
Ivory Coast
1%
Colombia
15%
Canada
1%
Morocco
1%
Sweden
1%
Tunisia
1%
New Zealand
1%
Senegal
1%
Austria
1%
Ecuador
1%
Paraguay
1%
Scotland
1%
Haiti
1%
Egypt
<1%
Panama
<1%
South Africa
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Türkiye
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uruguay
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Australia
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
DR Congo
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Norway 23.4%
Japan 17.4%
Belgium 16.3%
France 16%
$51,509 Vol.
$51,509 Vol.
Norway
23%
Japan
19%
Belgium
16%
France
10%
Spain
15%
Mexico
20%
Brazil
7%
Iran
6%
England
5%
Germany
5%
Argentina
5%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
4%
United States
3%
Netherlands
3%
Portugal
7%
South Korea
2%
Croatia
23%
Uzbekistan
2%
Switzerland
1%
Ivory Coast
1%
Colombia
15%
Canada
1%
Morocco
1%
Sweden
1%
Tunisia
1%
New Zealand
1%
Senegal
1%
Austria
1%
Ecuador
1%
Paraguay
1%
Scotland
1%
Haiti
1%
Egypt
<1%
Panama
<1%
South Africa
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Türkiye
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uruguay
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Australia
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
DR Congo
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 3, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 World Cup remains in its opening phase, with most squads having played one match or fewer, leaving disciplinary records nearly identical and fair play standings wide open. This has produced tightly bunched trader consensus around 50% for several leading outcomes, as yellow-card totals stay low across the field and no team has separated itself through repeated fouls or send-offs. Norway, Japan, and Croatia sit slightly ahead of the pack on historical clean-sheet tendencies and recent qualifying form, yet even these edges remain modest given the long schedule ahead and the potential for one late red card or multiple bookings to reorder the leaderboard. The competitive balance reflects both the early timing and the narrow margins typical of fair play races.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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