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Sports·Football

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

icon for World Cup: Golden Ball Winner
Sports·Football

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

Lamine Yamal 14%

Kylian Mbappé 11%

Michael Olise 11%

Harry Kane 8%

Polymarket

$122,501 Vol.

Lamine Yamal 14%

Kylian Mbappé 11%

Michael Olise 11%

Harry Kane 8%

Polymarket

$122,501 Vol.

Lamine Yamal

$9,081 Vol.

14%

Kylian Mbappé

$20,025 Vol.

11%

Michael Olise

$9,118 Vol.

11%

Harry Kane

$9,696 Vol.

8%

Vinícius Jr.

$4,934 Vol.

7%

Lionel Messi

$4,081 Vol.

7%

Pedri

$2,065 Vol.

6%

Bruno Fernandes

$6,418 Vol.

5%

Ousmane Dembélé

$5,042 Vol.

4%

Vitinha

$6,611 Vol.

4%

Jude Bellingham

$1,748 Vol.

3%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$10,773 Vol.

3%

Florian Wirtz

$7,154 Vol.

2%

Erling Haaland

$6,384 Vol.

2%

Declan Rice

$1,607 Vol.

2%

Rodri

$3,887 Vol.

2%

Rayan Cherki

$3,602 Vol.

2%

Bukayo Saka

$2,028 Vol.

1%

Neymar

$6,167 Vol.

<1%

Gavi

$2,079 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup's Golden Ball race remains tightly contested early in the group stage, with Lamine Yamal leading at 13.5% implied probability followed closely by Kylian Mbappé and Michael Olise near 11% each. Spain and France, the pre-tournament favorites, feature multiple standouts whose deep runs and standout contributions in attack heavily influence trader consensus. Yamal's breakout form with Barcelona and Spain, Mbappé's proven World Cup pedigree including prior final heroics, and Olise's rising trajectory at Bayern Munich create overlapping narratives. Additional contenders like Harry Kane, Vinícius Jr., and Pedri keep probabilities bunched, as the award hinges on a blend of individual output, team advancement, and momentum shifts across the expanded 48-team field.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$122,501
Date de fin
20 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup's Golden Ball race remains tightly contested early in the group stage, with Lamine Yamal leading at 13.5% implied probability followed closely by Kylian Mbappé and Michael Olise near 11% each. Spain and France, the pre-tournament favorites, feature multiple standouts whose deep runs and standout contributions in attack heavily influence trader consensus. Yamal's breakout form with Barcelona and Spain, Mbappé's proven World Cup pedigree including prior final heroics, and Olise's rising trajectory at Bayern Munich create overlapping narratives. Additional contenders like Harry Kane, Vinícius Jr., and Pedri keep probabilities bunched, as the award hinges on a blend of individual output, team advancement, and momentum shifts across the expanded 48-team field.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$122,501
Date de fin
20 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« World Cup: Golden Ball Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 20 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Lamine Yamal » à 14%, suivi de « Kylian Mbappé » à 11%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 14¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 14% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « World Cup: Golden Ball Winner » a généré $122.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 3, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « World Cup: Golden Ball Winner », parcourez les 20 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « World Cup: Golden Ball Winner » est « Lamine Yamal » à 14%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 14% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Kylian Mbappé » à 11%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « World Cup: Golden Ball Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.