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icon for Coupe du Monde : Vainqueur du Ballon d'Or

Coupe du Monde : Vainqueur du Ballon d'Or

icon for Coupe du Monde : Vainqueur du Ballon d'Or

Coupe du Monde : Vainqueur du Ballon d'Or

Kylian Mbappé 38%

Lionel Messi 30.1%

Jude Bellingham 20.9%

Harry Kane 5.5%

Polymarket

$7,763,781 Vol.

Kylian Mbappé 38%

Lionel Messi 30.1%

Jude Bellingham 20.9%

Harry Kane 5.5%

Polymarket

$7,763,781 Vol.

Kylian Mbappé

$275,107 Vol.

38%

Lionel Messi

$314,226 Vol.

30%

Jude Bellingham

$115,093 Vol.

21%

Harry Kane

$150,117 Vol.

5%

Michael Olise

$193,512 Vol.

3%

Lamine Yamal

$992,137 Vol.

2%

Rodri

$2,316,930 Vol.

2%

Ousmane Dembélé

$984,344 Vol.

2%

Pedri

$765,823 Vol.

<1%

Vinícius Jr.

$80,534 Vol.

<1%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$155,809 Vol.

<1%

Rayan Cherki

$8,538 Vol.

<1%

Erling Haaland

$166,089 Vol.

<1%

Bruno Fernandes

$106,671 Vol.

<1%

Vitinha

$32,784 Vol.

<1%

Florian Wirtz

$21,484 Vol.

<1%

Neymar

$12,870 Vol.

<1%

Gavi

$16,317 Vol.

<1%

Bukayo Saka

$8,063 Vol.

<1%

Declan Rice

$1,047,331 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup Golden Ball market remains tightly contested in its early stages, with Mbappé, Messi, Kane, Olise, and Yamal leading as the top contenders per current trader pricing. Pre-tournament expectations centered on established stars like Mbappé and Messi leveraging club form and national team pedigree, while emerging talents such as Yamal benefited from strong recent international showings. The opening matchdays have introduced further parity through variable minutes, squad depth across 48 teams, and the absence of any dominant individual performances yet. Factors like attacking roles, team advancement paths, and head-to-head matchups continue to shape implied probabilities, keeping the field wide open until deeper knockout rounds clarify standout contributions.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,763,781
Date de fin
20 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup Golden Ball market remains tightly contested in its early stages, with Mbappé, Messi, Kane, Olise, and Yamal leading as the top contenders per current trader pricing. Pre-tournament expectations centered on established stars like Mbappé and Messi leveraging club form and national team pedigree, while emerging talents such as Yamal benefited from strong recent international showings. The opening matchdays have introduced further parity through variable minutes, squad depth across 48 teams, and the absence of any dominant individual performances yet. Factors like attacking roles, team advancement paths, and head-to-head matchups continue to shape implied probabilities, keeping the field wide open until deeper knockout rounds clarify standout contributions.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,763,781
Date de fin
20 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Coupe du Monde : Vainqueur du Ballon d'Or » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 20 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Kylian Mbappé » à 38%, suivi de « Lionel Messi » à 30%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 38¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 38% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Coupe du Monde : Vainqueur du Ballon d'Or » a généré $7.8 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 3, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Coupe du Monde : Vainqueur du Ballon d'Or », parcourez les 20 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Coupe du Monde : Vainqueur du Ballon d'Or » est « Kylian Mbappé » à 38%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 38% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Lionel Messi » à 30%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Coupe du Monde : Vainqueur du Ballon d'Or » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.