Netherlands leads Group F at 53.5% implied probability thanks to its balanced squad depth, strong defensive core featuring Virgil van Dijk, and recent form including a Euro 2024 semifinal run plus consistent major-tournament results. Japan sits second at 27.5% on the back of disciplined, high-energy play and four knockout-stage appearances in the last seven World Cups, positioning it as a dangerous group opponent. Sweden holds 14.5% amid attacking talent such as Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyökeres, though a challenging qualifying path tempers expectations. Tunisia trails at 5.4% as the group underdog, relying on its resilient defensive record highlighted by the 2022 upset of France. Trader consensus reflects these squad and historical edges ahead of the June 14 opener between the Netherlands and Japan.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPays-Bas 54%
Japon 28%
Suède 15%
Tunisie 5.4%
$338,076 Vol.
$338,076 Vol.
Pays-Bas
54%
Japon
28%
Suède
15%
Tunisie
5%
Pays-Bas 54%
Japon 28%
Suède 15%
Tunisie 5.4%
$338,076 Vol.
$338,076 Vol.
Pays-Bas
54%
Japon
28%
Suède
15%
Tunisie
5%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Netherlands leads Group F at 53.5% implied probability thanks to its balanced squad depth, strong defensive core featuring Virgil van Dijk, and recent form including a Euro 2024 semifinal run plus consistent major-tournament results. Japan sits second at 27.5% on the back of disciplined, high-energy play and four knockout-stage appearances in the last seven World Cups, positioning it as a dangerous group opponent. Sweden holds 14.5% amid attacking talent such as Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyökeres, though a challenging qualifying path tempers expectations. Tunisia trails at 5.4% as the group underdog, relying on its resilient defensive record highlighted by the 2022 upset of France. Trader consensus reflects these squad and historical edges ahead of the June 14 opener between the Netherlands and Japan.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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