Netherlands hold the strongest position in Group F due to their superior FIFA ranking, robust European qualifying campaign with one of the best goal differences, and extended unbeaten streak in competitive fixtures. Traders price this edge at 53.5 percent implied probability for the Dutch to top the group ahead of their opening match against Japan. Japan’s 27.5 percent reflects sustained tactical discipline and recent results against high-caliber opponents, while Sweden’s 14.5 percent accounts for attacking depth under new management despite less consistent recent international results. Tunisia’s 5.4 percent aligns with a solid defensive qualifying record but limited attacking firepower relative to the other sides. The group’s balance, with three teams capable of points against favorites, keeps advancement scenarios fluid through the final matchday on June 25.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPays-Bas 54%
Japon 28%
Suède 15%
Tunisie 5.4%
$338,777 Vol.
$338,777 Vol.
Pays-Bas
54%
Japon
28%
Suède
15%
Tunisie
5%
Pays-Bas 54%
Japon 28%
Suède 15%
Tunisie 5.4%
$338,777 Vol.
$338,777 Vol.
Pays-Bas
54%
Japon
28%
Suède
15%
Tunisie
5%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Netherlands hold the strongest position in Group F due to their superior FIFA ranking, robust European qualifying campaign with one of the best goal differences, and extended unbeaten streak in competitive fixtures. Traders price this edge at 53.5 percent implied probability for the Dutch to top the group ahead of their opening match against Japan. Japan’s 27.5 percent reflects sustained tactical discipline and recent results against high-caliber opponents, while Sweden’s 14.5 percent accounts for attacking depth under new management despite less consistent recent international results. Tunisia’s 5.4 percent aligns with a solid defensive qualifying record but limited attacking firepower relative to the other sides. The group’s balance, with three teams capable of points against favorites, keeps advancement scenarios fluid through the final matchday on June 25.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes