France's status as 2022 runners-up with unmatched squad depth and experience drives the 65.5% implied probability as Group I favorite ahead of the June 16 kickoff. Norway sits at 24.5% on the strength of Erling Haaland's scoring threat and recent attacking form, while Senegal at 11.0% brings physical pressing and African Cup pedigree but trails in overall quality. Iraq trails at 0.7% with limited recent international success against this level. The three-match schedule—France vs Senegal, Iraq vs Norway, and later fixtures—favors the top two sides advancing based on historical patterns for similarly matched European and African contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFrance 66%
Norvège 25%
Sénégal 11%
Irak <1%
$381,479 Vol.
$381,479 Vol.
France
66%
Norvège
25%
Sénégal
11%
Irak
1%
France 66%
Norvège 25%
Sénégal 11%
Irak <1%
$381,479 Vol.
$381,479 Vol.
France
66%
Norvège
25%
Sénégal
11%
Irak
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France's status as 2022 runners-up with unmatched squad depth and experience drives the 65.5% implied probability as Group I favorite ahead of the June 16 kickoff. Norway sits at 24.5% on the strength of Erling Haaland's scoring threat and recent attacking form, while Senegal at 11.0% brings physical pressing and African Cup pedigree but trails in overall quality. Iraq trails at 0.7% with limited recent international success against this level. The three-match schedule—France vs Senegal, Iraq vs Norway, and later fixtures—favors the top two sides advancing based on historical patterns for similarly matched European and African contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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