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Sports·Récompenses 50, 4.5, 20

Coupe du Monde : Vainqueur du Ballon d'Argent

icon for Coupe du Monde : Vainqueur du Ballon d'Argent
Sports·Récompenses 50, 4.5, 20

Coupe du Monde : Vainqueur du Ballon d'Argent

Rodri 20.2%

Rayan Cherki 13%

Lamine Yamal 6%

Cristiano Ronaldo 5.5%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Rodri 20.2%

Rayan Cherki 13%

Lamine Yamal 6%

Cristiano Ronaldo 5.5%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Rodri

$27 Vol.

20%

Rayan Cherki

$79 Vol.

13%

Lamine Yamal

$93 Vol.

12%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$73 Vol.

6%

Vinícius Jr.

$121 Vol.

6%

Florian Wirtz

$122 Vol.

22%

Gavi

$29 Vol.

5%

Ousmane Dembélé

$40 Vol.

5%

Neymar

$175 Vol.

4%

Erling Haaland

$38 Vol.

4%

Pedri

$111 Vol.

23%

Bruno Fernandes

$116 Vol.

16%

Vitinha

$122 Vol.

24%

Kylian Mbappé

$38 Vol.

-

Harry Kane

$38 Vol.

37%

Michael Olise

$38 Vol.

30%

Lionel Messi

$84 Vol.

-

Jude Bellingham

$38 Vol.

33%

Bukayo Saka

$27 Vol.

-

Declan Rice

$91 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Silver Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The World Cup Silver Ball market reflects a tightly contested field among elite attackers and midfielders, with leading contenders like Harry Kane, Jude Bellingham, and Lionel Messi holding closely grouped implied probabilities between 31% and 36.5%. This clustering stems from the tournament's depth of talent across strong national teams, where individual brilliance can emerge unpredictably amid high-stakes matches, variable form, and tactical matchups. Factors such as recent club performances, international experience, and positional versatility keep multiple players viable, while the second-place award's historical openness—often favoring standout tournament performers over pre-event favorites—amplifies uncertainty. No major pre-tournament roster changes or injuries have shifted the balance significantly, leaving the wisdom of crowds pricing a wide-open race.

This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Silver Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,504
Date de fin
20 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 4:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Silver Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Silver Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The World Cup Silver Ball market reflects a tightly contested field among elite attackers and midfielders, with leading contenders like Harry Kane, Jude Bellingham, and Lionel Messi holding closely grouped implied probabilities between 31% and 36.5%. This clustering stems from the tournament's depth of talent across strong national teams, where individual brilliance can emerge unpredictably amid high-stakes matches, variable form, and tactical matchups. Factors such as recent club performances, international experience, and positional versatility keep multiple players viable, while the second-place award's historical openness—often favoring standout tournament performers over pre-event favorites—amplifies uncertainty. No major pre-tournament roster changes or injuries have shifted the balance significantly, leaving the wisdom of crowds pricing a wide-open race.

This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Silver Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,504
Date de fin
20 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 4:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Silver Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Coupe du Monde : Vainqueur du Ballon d'Argent » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 20 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Harry Kane » à 37%, suivi de « Bukayo Saka » à 36%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 37¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Coupe du Monde : Vainqueur du Ballon d'Argent » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jun 3, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Coupe du Monde : Vainqueur du Ballon d'Argent », parcourez les 20 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Coupe du Monde : Vainqueur du Ballon d'Argent » est « Harry Kane » à 37%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Bukayo Saka » à 36%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Coupe du Monde : Vainqueur du Ballon d'Argent » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.