Early group-stage results have shaped trader views on the 2026 World Cup's worst-placed UEFA side, with Türkiye's 2-0 loss to Australia and Czechia's 1-2 defeat to South Korea highlighting vulnerability for those sides. Norway, Switzerland, and Austria remain untested or with limited fixtures, while Bosnia and Herzegovina's draw and Scotland's narrow win over Haiti keep them in contention for early elimination. Strong starts by Germany, Sweden, and the Netherlands have depressed their implied probabilities, leaving "Other" as the consensus leader at 50% amid the expanded 48-team field and variable group difficulties. Recent form, opponent quality, and remaining schedule depth continue to drive positioning as matches unfold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNorway 29%
Switzerland 26.4%
Czechia 26%
Austria 11%
Austria
11%
Belgium
4%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
9%
Croatia
7%
Czechia
24%
England
2%
France
5%
Germany
1%
Netherlands
2%
Norway
29%
Portugal
5%
Scotland
5%
Spain
1%
Sweden
4%
Switzerland
26%
Türkiye
31%
Norway 29%
Switzerland 26.4%
Czechia 26%
Austria 11%
Austria
11%
Belgium
4%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
9%
Croatia
7%
Czechia
24%
England
2%
France
5%
Germany
1%
Netherlands
2%
Norway
29%
Portugal
5%
Scotland
5%
Spain
1%
Sweden
4%
Switzerland
26%
Türkiye
31%
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Early group-stage results have shaped trader views on the 2026 World Cup's worst-placed UEFA side, with Türkiye's 2-0 loss to Australia and Czechia's 1-2 defeat to South Korea highlighting vulnerability for those sides. Norway, Switzerland, and Austria remain untested or with limited fixtures, while Bosnia and Herzegovina's draw and Scotland's narrow win over Haiti keep them in contention for early elimination. Strong starts by Germany, Sweden, and the Netherlands have depressed their implied probabilities, leaving "Other" as the consensus leader at 50% amid the expanded 48-team field and variable group difficulties. Recent form, opponent quality, and remaining schedule depth continue to drive positioning as matches unfold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes