Brazil's Senate has never removed a Supreme Federal Court justice in the modern era, anchoring trader consensus at 80% against Alexandre de Moraes departing the STF before the end of 2026. Recent opposition impeachment requests, filed after Moraes suspended enforcement of a congressional sentencing law that could shorten former President Jair Bolsonaro's prison term, reflect ongoing legislative friction. Yet the constitutional threshold for removal requires supermajority support that has not materialized, while the Senate president retains control over the legislative calendar. Earlier U.S. sanctions on Moraes were lifted in late 2025, reducing external momentum for change and reinforcing institutional continuity at Brazil's highest court.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$27,474 वॉल्यूम
$27,474 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$27,474 वॉल्यूम
$27,474 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Brazil's Senate has never removed a Supreme Federal Court justice in the modern era, anchoring trader consensus at 80% against Alexandre de Moraes departing the STF before the end of 2026. Recent opposition impeachment requests, filed after Moraes suspended enforcement of a congressional sentencing law that could shorten former President Jair Bolsonaro's prison term, reflect ongoing legislative friction. Yet the constitutional threshold for removal requires supermajority support that has not materialized, while the Senate president retains control over the legislative calendar. Earlier U.S. sanctions on Moraes were lifted in late 2025, reducing external momentum for change and reinforcing institutional continuity at Brazil's highest court.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$27,474समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Brazil's Senate has never removed a Supreme Federal Court justice in the modern era, anchoring trader consensus at 80% against Alexandre de Moraes departing the STF before the end of 2026. Recent opposition impeachment requests, filed after Moraes suspended enforcement of a congressional sentencing law that could shorten former President Jair Bolsonaro's prison term, reflect ongoing legislative friction. Yet the constitutional threshold for removal requires supermajority support that has not materialized, while the Senate president retains control over the legislative calendar. Earlier U.S. sanctions on Moraes were lifted in late 2025, reducing external momentum for change and reinforcing institutional continuity at Brazil's highest court.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$27,474समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Senate has never removed a Supreme Federal Court justice in the modern era, anchoring trader consensus at 80% against Alexandre de Moraes departing the STF before the end of 2026. Recent opposition impeachment requests, filed after Moraes suspended enforcement of a congressional sentencing law that could shorten former President Jair Bolsonaro's prison term, reflect ongoing legislative friction. Yet the constitutional threshold for removal requires supermajority support that has not materialized, while the Senate president retains control over the legislative calendar. Earlier U.S. sanctions on Moraes were lifted in late 2025, reducing external momentum for change and reinforcing institutional continuity at Brazil's highest court.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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