The open seat created by Republican incumbent David Schweikert’s withdrawal to run for governor has positioned Arizona’s 1st congressional district as a prime Democratic target in this competitive Phoenix-area swing district. Recent polling shows Democratic primary front-runner Amish Shah maintaining a strong lead over rivals ahead of the July 21 contest, while the Republican primary remains more fragmented among candidates including Joseph Chaplik and Jay Feely. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting the district’s narrow partisan lean and shifting national dynamics, which has led traders to assign the Democratic nominee a clear edge in the November general election. Key factors that could still influence the outcome include primary results, turnout among suburban voters, and any late-cycle campaign developments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAZ-01 House Election Winner
AZ-01 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
69%
Republican Party
32%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$165 वॉल्यूम
69%
Republican Party
$296 वॉल्यूम
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican incumbent David Schweikert’s withdrawal to run for governor has positioned Arizona’s 1st congressional district as a prime Democratic target in this competitive Phoenix-area swing district. Recent polling shows Democratic primary front-runner Amish Shah maintaining a strong lead over rivals ahead of the July 21 contest, while the Republican primary remains more fragmented among candidates including Joseph Chaplik and Jay Feely. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting the district’s narrow partisan lean and shifting national dynamics, which has led traders to assign the Democratic nominee a clear edge in the November general election. Key factors that could still influence the outcome include primary results, turnout among suburban voters, and any late-cycle campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$460समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican incumbent David Schweikert’s withdrawal to run for governor has positioned Arizona’s 1st congressional district as a prime Democratic target in this competitive Phoenix-area swing district. Recent polling shows Democratic primary front-runner Amish Shah maintaining a strong lead over rivals ahead of the July 21 contest, while the Republican primary remains more fragmented among candidates including Joseph Chaplik and Jay Feely. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting the district’s narrow partisan lean and shifting national dynamics, which has led traders to assign the Democratic nominee a clear edge in the November general election. Key factors that could still influence the outcome include primary results, turnout among suburban voters, and any late-cycle campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$460समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Republican incumbent David Schweikert’s withdrawal to run for governor has positioned Arizona’s 1st congressional district as a prime Democratic target in this competitive Phoenix-area swing district. Recent polling shows Democratic primary front-runner Amish Shah maintaining a strong lead over rivals ahead of the July 21 contest, while the Republican primary remains more fragmented among candidates including Joseph Chaplik and Jay Feely. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting the district’s narrow partisan lean and shifting national dynamics, which has led traders to assign the Democratic nominee a clear edge in the November general election. Key factors that could still influence the outcome include primary results, turnout among suburban voters, and any late-cycle campaign developments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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