Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 54.5% to win Arizona's 6th Congressional District House seat, reflecting recent polls showing frontrunner JoAnna Mendoza leading incumbent Juan Ciscomani by 1–3 points, including a GOP-aligned Ragnar survey from late March (Mendoza 47%, Ciscomani 44%). Mendoza's competitive fundraising—$5.3 million raised through Q1 2026, nearly matching Ciscomani's—bolsters her bid as a Marine veteran appealing to the district's 80,000 veterans. This even-PVI toss-up faces midterm headwinds for Republicans as the president's party, with Ciscomani's past narrow victories underscoring vulnerability. A third-party independent was recently removed from the ballot, potentially consolidating votes, ahead of the July 21 Democratic primary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAZ-06 House Election Winner
AZ-06 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
70%
Republican Party
29%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$470 वॉल्यूम
70%
Republican Party
$922 वॉल्यूम
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 54.5% to win Arizona's 6th Congressional District House seat, reflecting recent polls showing frontrunner JoAnna Mendoza leading incumbent Juan Ciscomani by 1–3 points, including a GOP-aligned Ragnar survey from late March (Mendoza 47%, Ciscomani 44%). Mendoza's competitive fundraising—$5.3 million raised through Q1 2026, nearly matching Ciscomani's—bolsters her bid as a Marine veteran appealing to the district's 80,000 veterans. This even-PVI toss-up faces midterm headwinds for Republicans as the president's party, with Ciscomani's past narrow victories underscoring vulnerability. A third-party independent was recently removed from the ballot, potentially consolidating votes, ahead of the July 21 Democratic primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,391समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 54.5% to win Arizona's 6th Congressional District House seat, reflecting recent polls showing frontrunner JoAnna Mendoza leading incumbent Juan Ciscomani by 1–3 points, including a GOP-aligned Ragnar survey from late March (Mendoza 47%, Ciscomani 44%). Mendoza's competitive fundraising—$5.3 million raised through Q1 2026, nearly matching Ciscomani's—bolsters her bid as a Marine veteran appealing to the district's 80,000 veterans. This even-PVI toss-up faces midterm headwinds for Republicans as the president's party, with Ciscomani's past narrow victories underscoring vulnerability. A third-party independent was recently removed from the ballot, potentially consolidating votes, ahead of the July 21 Democratic primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$1,391समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 54.5% to win Arizona's 6th Congressional District House seat, reflecting recent polls showing frontrunner JoAnna Mendoza leading incumbent Juan Ciscomani by 1–3 points, including a GOP-aligned Ragnar survey from late March (Mendoza 47%, Ciscomani 44%). Mendoza's competitive fundraising—$5.3 million raised through Q1 2026, nearly matching Ciscomani's—bolsters her bid as a Marine veteran appealing to the district's 80,000 veterans. This even-PVI toss-up faces midterm headwinds for Republicans as the president's party, with Ciscomani's past narrow victories underscoring vulnerability. A third-party independent was recently removed from the ballot, potentially consolidating votes, ahead of the July 21 Democratic primary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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