Recent polls place the CDU near 19-21% for the September 20 Berlin state election, reflecting stabilization after earlier declines from its 28% result in the 2023 repeat vote. Fragmented support among Die Linke, AfD, Greens, and SPD has kept CDU figures in a narrow band, with the governing CDU-SPD coalition facing scrutiny over local issues and national trends. The tight market pricing across 17-23% brackets stems from this volatility and the multi-party contest, where modest shifts in turnout or voter migration could alter shares. Upcoming debates, candidate adjustments under Stefan Evers, and late-campaign developments on economic or security concerns may widen or narrow the range before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20-23% 46%
23%+ 44%
17-20% 42%
<17% 42%
<17%
42%
17-20%
42%
20-23%
46%
23%+
44%
20-23% 46%
23%+ 44%
17-20% 42%
<17% 42%
<17%
42%
17-20%
42%
20-23%
46%
23%+
44%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place the CDU near 19-21% for the September 20 Berlin state election, reflecting stabilization after earlier declines from its 28% result in the 2023 repeat vote. Fragmented support among Die Linke, AfD, Greens, and SPD has kept CDU figures in a narrow band, with the governing CDU-SPD coalition facing scrutiny over local issues and national trends. The tight market pricing across 17-23% brackets stems from this volatility and the multi-party contest, where modest shifts in turnout or voter migration could alter shares. Upcoming debates, candidate adjustments under Stefan Evers, and late-campaign developments on economic or security concerns may widen or narrow the range before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न