The September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election produced preliminary results placing the AfD at 38.2 percent, more than double its 2021 share and well clear of the 35 percent mark. Consistent pre-election polling from institutes such as Infratest dimap and INSA had shown the party anchored in the mid-to-high 30s for months, reflecting sustained voter support in the eastern state. The SPD placed second at 35.5 percent while smaller parties including the CDU fell below the five percent threshold. With final official tallies still pending, the wide margin makes any reversal of the statewide outcome highly unlikely. Limited remaining uncertainty could arise only from narrow adjustments in district-level counts or procedural challenges, though historical precedent indicates these seldom shift overall percentages enough to cross the 35 percent line.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअधिक
>99% संभावना
$3,095 वॉल्यूम
$3,095 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
अधिक
>99% संभावना
$3,095 वॉल्यूम
$3,095 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if AfD wins at least 35% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if AfD wins less than 35% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).The September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election produced preliminary results placing the AfD at 38.2 percent, more than double its 2021 share and well clear of the 35 percent mark. Consistent pre-election polling from institutes such as Infratest dimap and INSA had shown the party anchored in the mid-to-high 30s for months, reflecting sustained voter support in the eastern state. The SPD placed second at 35.5 percent while smaller parties including the CDU fell below the five percent threshold. With final official tallies still pending, the wide margin makes any reversal of the statewide outcome highly unlikely. Limited remaining uncertainty could arise only from narrow adjustments in district-level counts or procedural challenges, though historical precedent indicates these seldom shift overall percentages enough to cross the 35 percent line.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if AfD wins at least 35% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if AfD wins less than 35% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if AfD wins at least 35% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if AfD wins less than 35% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,095समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: अधिक
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: अधिक
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if AfD wins at least 35% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if AfD wins less than 35% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).The September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election produced preliminary results placing the AfD at 38.2 percent, more than double its 2021 share and well clear of the 35 percent mark. Consistent pre-election polling from institutes such as Infratest dimap and INSA had shown the party anchored in the mid-to-high 30s for months, reflecting sustained voter support in the eastern state. The SPD placed second at 35.5 percent while smaller parties including the CDU fell below the five percent threshold. With final official tallies still pending, the wide margin makes any reversal of the statewide outcome highly unlikely. Limited remaining uncertainty could arise only from narrow adjustments in district-level counts or procedural challenges, though historical precedent indicates these seldom shift overall percentages enough to cross the 35 percent line.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if AfD wins at least 35% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if AfD wins less than 35% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if AfD wins at least 35% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if AfD wins less than 35% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
वॉल्यूम
$3,095समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: अधिक
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: अधिक
The September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election produced preliminary results placing the AfD at 38.2 percent, more than double its 2021 share and well clear of the 35 percent mark. Consistent pre-election polling from institutes such as Infratest dimap and INSA had shown the party anchored in the mid-to-high 30s for months, reflecting sustained voter support in the eastern state. The SPD placed second at 35.5 percent while smaller parties including the CDU fell below the five percent threshold. With final official tallies still pending, the wide margin makes any reversal of the statewide outcome highly unlikely. Limited remaining uncertainty could arise only from narrow adjustments in district-level counts or procedural challenges, though historical precedent indicates these seldom shift overall percentages enough to cross the 35 percent line.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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