Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 state election shows a tight four-way contest, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Greens each polling between roughly 16 and 21 percent in July and early August surveys. AfD support has fluctuated, reaching 19 percent in one INSA poll—its first local lead—while other institutes place it third or fourth. This volatility, combined with a 5 percent threshold that excludes smaller parties and proportional seat allocation, keeps projected AfD representation clustered around 29–34 seats. National AfD trends and local voter priorities on housing and migration sustain the competitive positioning, with final turnout and late campaign shifts likely to determine the precise seat band.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया32-34 39%
26-28 23%
29-31 17%
23-25 16%
नया
नया
20 सित, 2026
<20
5%
20-22
5%
23-25
16%
26-28
17%
29-31
40%
32-34
39%
35+
8%
32-34 39%
26-28 23%
29-31 17%
23-25 16%
नया
नया
20 सित, 2026
<20
$572 वॉल्यूम
5%
20-22
$1,426 वॉल्यूम
5%
23-25
$97 वॉल्यूम
16%
26-28
$295 वॉल्यूम
17%
29-31
$240 वॉल्यूम
40%
32-34
$116 वॉल्यूम
39%
35+
$304 वॉल्यूम
8%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 state election shows a tight four-way contest, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Greens each polling between roughly 16 and 21 percent in July and early August surveys. AfD support has fluctuated, reaching 19 percent in one INSA poll—its first local lead—while other institutes place it third or fourth. This volatility, combined with a 5 percent threshold that excludes smaller parties and proportional seat allocation, keeps projected AfD representation clustered around 29–34 seats. National AfD trends and local voter priorities on housing and migration sustain the competitive positioning, with final turnout and late campaign shifts likely to determine the precise seat band.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,050समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 state election shows a tight four-way contest, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Greens each polling between roughly 16 and 21 percent in July and early August surveys. AfD support has fluctuated, reaching 19 percent in one INSA poll—its first local lead—while other institutes place it third or fourth. This volatility, combined with a 5 percent threshold that excludes smaller parties and proportional seat allocation, keeps projected AfD representation clustered around 29–34 seats. National AfD trends and local voter priorities on housing and migration sustain the competitive positioning, with final turnout and late campaign shifts likely to determine the precise seat band.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
वॉल्यूम
$3,050समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 state election shows a tight four-way contest, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Greens each polling between roughly 16 and 21 percent in July and early August surveys. AfD support has fluctuated, reaching 19 percent in one INSA poll—its first local lead—while other institutes place it third or fourth. This volatility, combined with a 5 percent threshold that excludes smaller parties and proportional seat allocation, keeps projected AfD representation clustered around 29–34 seats. National AfD trends and local voter priorities on housing and migration sustain the competitive positioning, with final turnout and late campaign shifts likely to determine the precise seat band.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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