Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran faces Republican Chuong Vo in the November 3, 2026, general election for California's 45th congressional district. The seat's modest Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential voting margins around four points, combined with Tran's incumbency advantage following his 2024 victory, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. California's June 2 top-two primary confirmed the matchup, with Tran securing over 53 percent and Vo emerging as the leading Republican amid a split GOP field. Forecasters rate the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, citing fundraising disparities where Tran holds millions in reserves against Vo's lower totals. No major developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks, though the race remains part of broader midterm dynamics affecting House control.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-45 House Election Winner
CA-45 House Election Winner
$25,686 वॉल्यूम
$25,686 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
12%
$25,686 वॉल्यूम
$25,686 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,885 वॉल्यूम
89%
Republican Party
$11,800 वॉल्यूम
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran faces Republican Chuong Vo in the November 3, 2026, general election for California's 45th congressional district. The seat's modest Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential voting margins around four points, combined with Tran's incumbency advantage following his 2024 victory, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. California's June 2 top-two primary confirmed the matchup, with Tran securing over 53 percent and Vo emerging as the leading Republican amid a split GOP field. Forecasters rate the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, citing fundraising disparities where Tran holds millions in reserves against Vo's lower totals. No major developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks, though the race remains part of broader midterm dynamics affecting House control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,686समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran faces Republican Chuong Vo in the November 3, 2026, general election for California's 45th congressional district. The seat's modest Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential voting margins around four points, combined with Tran's incumbency advantage following his 2024 victory, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. California's June 2 top-two primary confirmed the matchup, with Tran securing over 53 percent and Vo emerging as the leading Republican amid a split GOP field. Forecasters rate the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, citing fundraising disparities where Tran holds millions in reserves against Vo's lower totals. No major developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks, though the race remains part of broader midterm dynamics affecting House control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$25,686समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran faces Republican Chuong Vo in the November 3, 2026, general election for California's 45th congressional district. The seat's modest Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential voting margins around four points, combined with Tran's incumbency advantage following his 2024 victory, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. California's June 2 top-two primary confirmed the matchup, with Tran securing over 53 percent and Vo emerging as the leading Republican amid a split GOP field. Forecasters rate the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, citing fundraising disparities where Tran holds millions in reserves against Vo's lower totals. No major developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks, though the race remains part of broader midterm dynamics affecting House control.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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