Polls consistently place leftist candidate Iván Cepeda first in voting intention ahead of Colombia’s May 31 presidential first round, yet short of an outright majority, while right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella holds a narrow edge over center-right rival Paloma Valencia for the second runoff spot. Recent surveys from mid-May show de la Espriella at roughly 29 percent and Valencia near 21 percent among the three leading contenders, reinforcing trader consensus on their advancement. Security concerns, including the recent killings of de la Espriella campaign staff, and debates over aggressive anti-crime policies have sharpened the contest for conservative voters, with limited movement from undecided blocs or minor candidates altering the projected matchup.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाColombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 84%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 8%
1st Round Outright Winner 7.5%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
$11,666 वॉल्यूम
$11,666 वॉल्यूम
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
84%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
8%
1st Round Outright Winner
8%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Other
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 84%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 8%
1st Round Outright Winner 7.5%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
$11,666 वॉल्यूम
$11,666 वॉल्यूम
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
84%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
8%
1st Round Outright Winner
8%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Other
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polls consistently place leftist candidate Iván Cepeda first in voting intention ahead of Colombia’s May 31 presidential first round, yet short of an outright majority, while right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella holds a narrow edge over center-right rival Paloma Valencia for the second runoff spot. Recent surveys from mid-May show de la Espriella at roughly 29 percent and Valencia near 21 percent among the three leading contenders, reinforcing trader consensus on their advancement. Security concerns, including the recent killings of de la Espriella campaign staff, and debates over aggressive anti-crime policies have sharpened the contest for conservative voters, with limited movement from undecided blocs or minor candidates altering the projected matchup.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न