Historical turnout in Colombia's presidential first rounds has consistently landed in the mid-50s percent range, which continues to anchor trader consensus around the 54-57% band two weeks before the May 31 vote. The fragmented field featuring leading candidates Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia has produced steady but not exceptional campaign activity, with no major last-minute mobilization events or crises shifting participation levels. Recent polling shows a competitive race without signs of unusually high or low engagement, keeping outcomes below 48% or above 60% at lower implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया54-57% 51%
60%+ 27.4%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
<48%
4%
48-51%
23%
51-54%
21%
54-57%
44%
57-60%
13%
60%+
27%
54-57% 51%
60%+ 27.4%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
<48%
4%
48-51%
23%
51-54%
21%
54-57%
44%
57-60%
13%
60%+
27%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Historical turnout in Colombia's presidential first rounds has consistently landed in the mid-50s percent range, which continues to anchor trader consensus around the 54-57% band two weeks before the May 31 vote. The fragmented field featuring leading candidates Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia has produced steady but not exceptional campaign activity, with no major last-minute mobilization events or crises shifting participation levels. Recent polling shows a competitive race without signs of unusually high or low engagement, keeping outcomes below 48% or above 60% at lower implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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