Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability of a 25 basis point ECB deposit facility rate hike to 2.25% at the June 10-11, 2026 meeting, driven by Eurozone annual inflation surging to 3.0% in April—its highest since September 2023—fueled by war-led energy price shocks. The ECB held rates steady at 2.00% on April 30 amid sticky inflation above the 2% target, but signaled hikes remain firmly on the table to anchor expectations, with analysts like JP Morgan forecasting June and September moves. No-change odds at 16.4% reflect lingering growth concerns from Q1's meager 0.1% expansion, while larger hikes or cuts trade below 1% amid consensus for measured tightening. Watch May CPI flash estimate around May 30 for potential shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाECB Interest Rates: June 2026
ECB Interest Rates: June 2026
25 bps Increase 83%
No change 16.4%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$255,067 वॉल्यूम
$255,067 वॉल्यूम
11 जून, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
16%
25 bps Increase
83%
50+ bps increase
1%
25 bps Increase 83%
No change 16.4%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$255,067 वॉल्यूम
$255,067 वॉल्यूम
11 जून, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$52,380 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25 bps decrease
$42,202 वॉल्यूम
<1%
No change
$50,574 वॉल्यूम
16%
25 bps Increase
$60,366 वॉल्यूम
83%
50+ bps increase
$49,544 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability of a 25 basis point ECB deposit facility rate hike to 2.25% at the June 10-11, 2026 meeting, driven by Eurozone annual inflation surging to 3.0% in April—its highest since September 2023—fueled by war-led energy price shocks. The ECB held rates steady at 2.00% on April 30 amid sticky inflation above the 2% target, but signaled hikes remain firmly on the table to anchor expectations, with analysts like JP Morgan forecasting June and September moves. No-change odds at 16.4% reflect lingering growth concerns from Q1's meager 0.1% expansion, while larger hikes or cuts trade below 1% amid consensus for measured tightening. Watch May CPI flash estimate around May 30 for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$255,067समाप्ति तिथि
11 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability of a 25 basis point ECB deposit facility rate hike to 2.25% at the June 10-11, 2026 meeting, driven by Eurozone annual inflation surging to 3.0% in April—its highest since September 2023—fueled by war-led energy price shocks. The ECB held rates steady at 2.00% on April 30 amid sticky inflation above the 2% target, but signaled hikes remain firmly on the table to anchor expectations, with analysts like JP Morgan forecasting June and September moves. No-change odds at 16.4% reflect lingering growth concerns from Q1's meager 0.1% expansion, while larger hikes or cuts trade below 1% amid consensus for measured tightening. Watch May CPI flash estimate around May 30 for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$255,067समाप्ति तिथि
11 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability of a 25 basis point ECB deposit facility rate hike to 2.25% at the June 10-11, 2026 meeting, driven by Eurozone annual inflation surging to 3.0% in April—its highest since September 2023—fueled by war-led energy price shocks. The ECB held rates steady at 2.00% on April 30 amid sticky inflation above the 2% target, but signaled hikes remain firmly on the table to anchor expectations, with analysts like JP Morgan forecasting June and September moves. No-change odds at 16.4% reflect lingering growth concerns from Q1's meager 0.1% expansion, while larger hikes or cuts trade below 1% amid consensus for measured tightening. Watch May CPI flash estimate around May 30 for potential shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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