Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven sharp energy price increases, pushing Eurozone HICP inflation to 3.0% in April and elevating upside risks to the ECB's 2% target. This has shifted trader consensus toward a 25 basis point deposit facility rate hike at the June 11 meeting, with the 84.5% implied probability reflecting expectations that policymakers will begin normalizing policy from the current 2.00% level to contain second-round effects. The ECB's April 30 decision to hold rates steady, coupled with forward guidance on data dependence, has reinforced this path while leaving room for caution amid subdued Q1 GDP growth. Upcoming May inflation releases and the June Governing Council meeting remain key catalysts that could adjust these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाECB Interest Rates: June 2026
ECB Interest Rates: June 2026
25 bps Increase 85%
No change 14.1%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$275,352 वॉल्यूम
$275,352 वॉल्यूम
11 जून, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
14%
25 bps Increase
85%
50+ bps increase
1%
25 bps Increase 85%
No change 14.1%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$275,352 वॉल्यूम
$275,352 वॉल्यूम
11 जून, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$54,094 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25 bps decrease
$43,932 वॉल्यूम
<1%
No change
$52,061 वॉल्यूम
14%
25 bps Increase
$72,056 वॉल्यूम
85%
50+ bps increase
$53,209 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven sharp energy price increases, pushing Eurozone HICP inflation to 3.0% in April and elevating upside risks to the ECB's 2% target. This has shifted trader consensus toward a 25 basis point deposit facility rate hike at the June 11 meeting, with the 84.5% implied probability reflecting expectations that policymakers will begin normalizing policy from the current 2.00% level to contain second-round effects. The ECB's April 30 decision to hold rates steady, coupled with forward guidance on data dependence, has reinforced this path while leaving room for caution amid subdued Q1 GDP growth. Upcoming May inflation releases and the June Governing Council meeting remain key catalysts that could adjust these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$275,352समाप्ति तिथि
11 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven sharp energy price increases, pushing Eurozone HICP inflation to 3.0% in April and elevating upside risks to the ECB's 2% target. This has shifted trader consensus toward a 25 basis point deposit facility rate hike at the June 11 meeting, with the 84.5% implied probability reflecting expectations that policymakers will begin normalizing policy from the current 2.00% level to contain second-round effects. The ECB's April 30 decision to hold rates steady, coupled with forward guidance on data dependence, has reinforced this path while leaving room for caution amid subdued Q1 GDP growth. Upcoming May inflation releases and the June Governing Council meeting remain key catalysts that could adjust these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$275,352समाप्ति तिथि
11 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven sharp energy price increases, pushing Eurozone HICP inflation to 3.0% in April and elevating upside risks to the ECB's 2% target. This has shifted trader consensus toward a 25 basis point deposit facility rate hike at the June 11 meeting, with the 84.5% implied probability reflecting expectations that policymakers will begin normalizing policy from the current 2.00% level to contain second-round effects. The ECB's April 30 decision to hold rates steady, coupled with forward guidance on data dependence, has reinforced this path while leaving room for caution amid subdued Q1 GDP growth. Upcoming May inflation releases and the June Governing Council meeting remain key catalysts that could adjust these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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