Elon Musk’s typical weekend posting rhythm, averaging 8-15 tweets daily across main posts, replies, and reposts, has anchored trader consensus on the 40-64 range for the August 8-10 window, now carrying 74.5% implied probability. Recent activity shows steady engagement centered on Starlink bandwidth projections, SpaceX updates, and company replies rather than viral threads or external controversies that could push volume higher. The short three-day span, which includes a weekend with historically lighter cadence absent major launches or earnings events, leaves little room for acceleration into the 65+ buckets that remain thinly traded below 7% combined. Trackers note consistent but moderate output on August 8, aligning with baseline patterns and reinforcing the current frontrunner while underscoring the market’s sensitivity to any unexpected late-week catalyst.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया40-64 75%
40 से कम 19%
65-89 6%
90-114 <1%
$299,462 वॉल्यूम
$299,462 वॉल्यूम
10 अग, 2026
40 से कम
19%
40-64
75%
65-89
6%
90-114
<1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 75%
40 से कम 19%
65-89 6%
90-114 <1%
$299,462 वॉल्यूम
$299,462 वॉल्यूम
10 अग, 2026
40 से कम
$70,454 वॉल्यूम
19%
40-64
$34,896 वॉल्यूम
75%
65-89
$57,546 वॉल्यूम
6%
90-114
$57,991 वॉल्यूम
<1%
115-139
$38,013 वॉल्यूम
<1%
140-164
$14,119 वॉल्यूम
<1%
165-189
$11,580 वॉल्यूम
<1%
190-214
$3,943 वॉल्यूम
<1%
215-239
$5,406 वॉल्यूम
<1%
240+
$5,514 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical weekend posting rhythm, averaging 8-15 tweets daily across main posts, replies, and reposts, has anchored trader consensus on the 40-64 range for the August 8-10 window, now carrying 74.5% implied probability. Recent activity shows steady engagement centered on Starlink bandwidth projections, SpaceX updates, and company replies rather than viral threads or external controversies that could push volume higher. The short three-day span, which includes a weekend with historically lighter cadence absent major launches or earnings events, leaves little room for acceleration into the 65+ buckets that remain thinly traded below 7% combined. Trackers note consistent but moderate output on August 8, aligning with baseline patterns and reinforcing the current frontrunner while underscoring the market’s sensitivity to any unexpected late-week catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$299,462समाप्ति तिथि
10 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical weekend posting rhythm, averaging 8-15 tweets daily across main posts, replies, and reposts, has anchored trader consensus on the 40-64 range for the August 8-10 window, now carrying 74.5% implied probability. Recent activity shows steady engagement centered on Starlink bandwidth projections, SpaceX updates, and company replies rather than viral threads or external controversies that could push volume higher. The short three-day span, which includes a weekend with historically lighter cadence absent major launches or earnings events, leaves little room for acceleration into the 65+ buckets that remain thinly traded below 7% combined. Trackers note consistent but moderate output on August 8, aligning with baseline patterns and reinforcing the current frontrunner while underscoring the market’s sensitivity to any unexpected late-week catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$299,462समाप्ति तिथि
10 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s typical weekend posting rhythm, averaging 8-15 tweets daily across main posts, replies, and reposts, has anchored trader consensus on the 40-64 range for the August 8-10 window, now carrying 74.5% implied probability. Recent activity shows steady engagement centered on Starlink bandwidth projections, SpaceX updates, and company replies rather than viral threads or external controversies that could push volume higher. The short three-day span, which includes a weekend with historically lighter cadence absent major launches or earnings events, leaves little room for acceleration into the 65+ buckets that remain thinly traded below 7% combined. Trackers note consistent but moderate output on August 8, aligning with baseline patterns and reinforcing the current frontrunner while underscoring the market’s sensitivity to any unexpected late-week catalyst.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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