Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X this week has positioned the 200-219 tweet range as the clear market frontrunner at 42.6% implied probability, driven by his pattern of frequent replies to Tesla FSD updates, Starship test commentary, and cultural debates. Traders have noted his consistent engagement with community posts on vehicle safety data, launch vehicle redesigns, and policy critiques, which historically push weekly counts into the low 200s during active product cycles. The adjacent 180-199 and 220-239 brackets trail at 28.5% and 20.5%, reflecting uncertainty around whether the final day will add enough replies to push totals higher. With the week ending May 19 and no major platform outages reported, market consensus centers on sustained but not record-breaking activity tied to ongoing Tesla and SpaceX news flow.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया200-219 43.3%
180-199 29.1%
220-239 21.3%
240-259 4.0%
$9,854,227 वॉल्यूम
$9,854,227 वॉल्यूम
19 मई, 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
2%
180-199
29%
200-219
43%
220-239
21%
240-259
4%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 43.3%
180-199 29.1%
220-239 21.3%
240-259 4.0%
$9,854,227 वॉल्यूम
$9,854,227 वॉल्यूम
19 मई, 2026
140-159
$719,993 वॉल्यूम
<1%
160-179
$508,222 वॉल्यूम
2%
180-199
$398,016 वॉल्यूम
29%
200-219
$379,663 वॉल्यूम
43%
220-239
$420,870 वॉल्यूम
21%
240-259
$326,708 वॉल्यूम
4%
260-279
$307,165 वॉल्यूम
1%
280-299
$282,212 वॉल्यूम
<1%
300-319
$331,410 वॉल्यूम
<1%
320-339
$406,255 वॉल्यूम
<1%
340-359
$431,349 वॉल्यूम
<1%
360-379
$416,804 वॉल्यूम
<1%
380-399
$400,329 वॉल्यूम
<1%
400-419
$550,965 वॉल्यूम
<1%
420-439
$157,847 वॉल्यूम
<1%
440-459
$82,158 वॉल्यूम
<1%
460-479
$67,054 वॉल्यूम
<1%
480-499
$29,200 वॉल्यूम
<1%
500+
$241,779 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X this week has positioned the 200-219 tweet range as the clear market frontrunner at 42.6% implied probability, driven by his pattern of frequent replies to Tesla FSD updates, Starship test commentary, and cultural debates. Traders have noted his consistent engagement with community posts on vehicle safety data, launch vehicle redesigns, and policy critiques, which historically push weekly counts into the low 200s during active product cycles. The adjacent 180-199 and 220-239 brackets trail at 28.5% and 20.5%, reflecting uncertainty around whether the final day will add enough replies to push totals higher. With the week ending May 19 and no major platform outages reported, market consensus centers on sustained but not record-breaking activity tied to ongoing Tesla and SpaceX news flow.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,854,227समाप्ति तिथि
19 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X this week has positioned the 200-219 tweet range as the clear market frontrunner at 42.6% implied probability, driven by his pattern of frequent replies to Tesla FSD updates, Starship test commentary, and cultural debates. Traders have noted his consistent engagement with community posts on vehicle safety data, launch vehicle redesigns, and policy critiques, which historically push weekly counts into the low 200s during active product cycles. The adjacent 180-199 and 220-239 brackets trail at 28.5% and 20.5%, reflecting uncertainty around whether the final day will add enough replies to push totals higher. With the week ending May 19 and no major platform outages reported, market consensus centers on sustained but not record-breaking activity tied to ongoing Tesla and SpaceX news flow.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$9,854,227समाप्ति तिथि
19 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X this week has positioned the 200-219 tweet range as the clear market frontrunner at 42.6% implied probability, driven by his pattern of frequent replies to Tesla FSD updates, Starship test commentary, and cultural debates. Traders have noted his consistent engagement with community posts on vehicle safety data, launch vehicle redesigns, and policy critiques, which historically push weekly counts into the low 200s during active product cycles. The adjacent 180-199 and 220-239 brackets trail at 28.5% and 20.5%, reflecting uncertainty around whether the final day will add enough replies to push totals higher. With the week ending May 19 and no major platform outages reported, market consensus centers on sustained but not record-breaking activity tied to ongoing Tesla and SpaceX news flow.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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