Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk over the May 18-20 weekend at 41.5% implied probability, reflecting his established pattern of moderated weekend posting absent major breaking news. Recent short-period tracking shows daily averages of 13-20 posts when no high-stakes launches, policy shifts, or viral controversies dominate his feed, aligning with steady but not explosive activity across Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI updates. The 65-89 bucket at 25.5% remains a viable secondary outcome if momentum from ongoing robotics or AI milestones carries into the period, while sub-40 odds at 16.5% price in the possibility of an unusually quiet stretch. With no flagship events locked for those dates, the market consensus highlights how routine executive chatter and meme engagement typically set the baseline for three-day totals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया40-64 42%
65-89 26%
40 से कम 17%
90-114 10%
नया
$11,575 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,575 वॉल्यूम
20 मई, 2026
40 से कम
17%
40-64
42%
65-89
26%
90-114
10%
115-139
3%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 42%
65-89 26%
40 से कम 17%
90-114 10%
नया
$11,575 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,575 वॉल्यूम
20 मई, 2026
40 से कम
$313 वॉल्यूम
17%
40-64
$833 वॉल्यूम
42%
65-89
$671 वॉल्यूम
26%
90-114
$3,990 वॉल्यूम
10%
115-139
$180 वॉल्यूम
3%
140-164
$674 वॉल्यूम
1%
165-189
$704 वॉल्यूम
1%
190-214
$1,709 वॉल्यूम
1%
215-239
$1,604 वॉल्यूम
<1%
240+
$1,123 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk over the May 18-20 weekend at 41.5% implied probability, reflecting his established pattern of moderated weekend posting absent major breaking news. Recent short-period tracking shows daily averages of 13-20 posts when no high-stakes launches, policy shifts, or viral controversies dominate his feed, aligning with steady but not explosive activity across Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI updates. The 65-89 bucket at 25.5% remains a viable secondary outcome if momentum from ongoing robotics or AI milestones carries into the period, while sub-40 odds at 16.5% price in the possibility of an unusually quiet stretch. With no flagship events locked for those dates, the market consensus highlights how routine executive chatter and meme engagement typically set the baseline for three-day totals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,575समाप्ति तिथि
20 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk over the May 18-20 weekend at 41.5% implied probability, reflecting his established pattern of moderated weekend posting absent major breaking news. Recent short-period tracking shows daily averages of 13-20 posts when no high-stakes launches, policy shifts, or viral controversies dominate his feed, aligning with steady but not explosive activity across Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI updates. The 65-89 bucket at 25.5% remains a viable secondary outcome if momentum from ongoing robotics or AI milestones carries into the period, while sub-40 odds at 16.5% price in the possibility of an unusually quiet stretch. With no flagship events locked for those dates, the market consensus highlights how routine executive chatter and meme engagement typically set the baseline for three-day totals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$11,575समाप्ति तिथि
20 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskTraders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk over the May 18-20 weekend at 41.5% implied probability, reflecting his established pattern of moderated weekend posting absent major breaking news. Recent short-period tracking shows daily averages of 13-20 posts when no high-stakes launches, policy shifts, or viral controversies dominate his feed, aligning with steady but not explosive activity across Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI updates. The 65-89 bucket at 25.5% remains a viable secondary outcome if momentum from ongoing robotics or AI milestones carries into the period, while sub-40 odds at 16.5% price in the possibility of an unusually quiet stretch. With no flagship events locked for those dates, the market consensus highlights how routine executive chatter and meme engagement typically set the baseline for three-day totals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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