Polymarket traders have reached overwhelming consensus at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 140-159 times on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15 12:00 PM ET, anchored by real-time trackers logging 133 posts as of 9:00 AM ET today after a steady pace of 19 daily average—including a 41-post spike yesterday amid viral critiques of Hollywood's DEI standards and Christopher Nolan's "The Odyssey" casting controversy. This skin-in-the-game sentiment reflects his consistent pop culture engagement on culture-war flashpoints, with historical patterns showing rare deviations from such projections near period ends. Realistic upsets would require an unprecedented 27+ post surge in the final three hours—far exceeding his intraday norms—or a rare oracle recount, though conditions remain locked barring last-minute anomalies.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया140-159 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$13,408,024 वॉल्यूम
$13,408,024 वॉल्यूम
<20
नहीं
20-39
नहीं
40-59
नहीं
60-79
नहीं
80-99
नहीं
100-119
नहीं
120-139
नहीं
140-159
हाँ
160-179
नहीं
180-199
नहीं
200-219
नहीं
220-239
नहीं
240-259
नहीं
260-279
नहीं
280-299
नहीं
300-319
नहीं
320-339
नहीं
340-359
नहीं
360-379
नहीं
380-399
नहीं
400-419
नहीं
420-439
नहीं
440-459
नहीं
460-479
नहीं
480-499
नहीं
500+
नहीं
140-159 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$13,408,024 वॉल्यूम
$13,408,024 वॉल्यूम
<20
नहीं
20-39
नहीं
40-59
नहीं
60-79
नहीं
80-99
नहीं
100-119
नहीं
120-139
नहीं
140-159
हाँ
160-179
नहीं
180-199
नहीं
200-219
नहीं
220-239
नहीं
240-259
नहीं
260-279
नहीं
280-299
नहीं
300-319
नहीं
320-339
नहीं
340-359
नहीं
360-379
नहीं
380-399
नहीं
400-419
नहीं
420-439
नहीं
440-459
नहीं
460-479
नहीं
480-499
नहीं
500+
नहीं
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
समाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Polymarket traders have reached overwhelming consensus at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 140-159 times on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15 12:00 PM ET, anchored by real-time trackers logging 133 posts as of 9:00 AM ET today after a steady pace of 19 daily average—including a 41-post spike yesterday amid viral critiques of Hollywood's DEI standards and Christopher Nolan's "The Odyssey" casting controversy. This skin-in-the-game sentiment reflects his consistent pop culture engagement on culture-war flashpoints, with historical patterns showing rare deviations from such projections near period ends. Realistic upsets would require an unprecedented 27+ post surge in the final three hours—far exceeding his intraday norms—or a rare oracle recount, though conditions remain locked barring last-minute anomalies.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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