Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X underpins the market’s overwhelming consensus for the 40-64 tweet bracket in the September 17-19 window. Real-time trackers show roughly 51 qualifying main-feed posts, quote tweets, and reposts through the period— squarely inside the favored range and consistent with Musk’s recent daily averages around 15-20 posts when active on topics from AI and gaming to Starlink and policy commentary. Precedent from similar short windows reinforces the outcome, as traders price in predictable engagement patterns rather than rare spikes. An upset would require either an unexpected tweet surge tied to breaking news or a sharp drop if Musk steps back for travel or focused work at xAI facilities, though neither appears imminent as the window closes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया40-64 100.0%
40 से कम <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$551,871 वॉल्यूम
$551,871 वॉल्यूम
19 सित, 2026
40 से कम
नहीं
40-64
हाँ
65-89
नहीं
90-114
नहीं
115-139
नहीं
140-164
नहीं
165-189
नहीं
190-214
नहीं
215-239
नहीं
240+
नहीं
40-64 100.0%
40 से कम <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$551,871 वॉल्यूम
$551,871 वॉल्यूम
19 सित, 2026
40 से कम
$145,834 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
40-64
$111,478 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
65-89
$156,998 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
90-114
$84,511 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
115-139
$29,314 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
140-164
$9,222 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
165-189
$8,484 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
190-214
$2,325 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
215-239
$945 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
240+
$2,759 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 17 12:00 PM ET to September 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X underpins the market’s overwhelming consensus for the 40-64 tweet bracket in the September 17-19 window. Real-time trackers show roughly 51 qualifying main-feed posts, quote tweets, and reposts through the period— squarely inside the favored range and consistent with Musk’s recent daily averages around 15-20 posts when active on topics from AI and gaming to Starlink and policy commentary. Precedent from similar short windows reinforces the outcome, as traders price in predictable engagement patterns rather than rare spikes. An upset would require either an unexpected tweet surge tied to breaking news or a sharp drop if Musk steps back for travel or focused work at xAI facilities, though neither appears imminent as the window closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 17 12:00 PM ET to September 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$551,871समाप्ति तिथि
19 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 17 12:00 PM ET to September 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X underpins the market’s overwhelming consensus for the 40-64 tweet bracket in the September 17-19 window. Real-time trackers show roughly 51 qualifying main-feed posts, quote tweets, and reposts through the period— squarely inside the favored range and consistent with Musk’s recent daily averages around 15-20 posts when active on topics from AI and gaming to Starlink and policy commentary. Precedent from similar short windows reinforces the outcome, as traders price in predictable engagement patterns rather than rare spikes. An upset would require either an unexpected tweet surge tied to breaking news or a sharp drop if Musk steps back for travel or focused work at xAI facilities, though neither appears imminent as the window closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 17 12:00 PM ET to September 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$551,871समाप्ति तिथि
19 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X underpins the market’s overwhelming consensus for the 40-64 tweet bracket in the September 17-19 window. Real-time trackers show roughly 51 qualifying main-feed posts, quote tweets, and reposts through the period— squarely inside the favored range and consistent with Musk’s recent daily averages around 15-20 posts when active on topics from AI and gaming to Starlink and policy commentary. Precedent from similar short windows reinforces the outcome, as traders price in predictable engagement patterns rather than rare spikes. An upset would require either an unexpected tweet surge tied to breaking news or a sharp drop if Musk steps back for travel or focused work at xAI facilities, though neither appears imminent as the window closes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न