Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.6% on former Rep. Eric Swalwell's arrest by May 31, reflecting the absence of charges or indictment despite serious sexual misconduct allegations from multiple accusers that surfaced in mid-April, prompting his resignation from Congress and probes by Los Angeles and Manhattan district attorneys, plus reported DOJ scrutiny. No arrests or formal charges have materialized in the month since police reports were filed, underscoring the deliberate pace of criminal investigations requiring probable cause for high-profile figures. A related development saw a major Swalwell donor arrested this week on witness tampering felonies, but this has not accelerated action against Swalwell. Realistic shifts could stem from abrupt evidentiary breakthroughs yielding an arrest warrant before the deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$12,776 वॉल्यूम
$12,776 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
हाँ
$12,776 वॉल्यूम
$12,776 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.6% on former Rep. Eric Swalwell's arrest by May 31, reflecting the absence of charges or indictment despite serious sexual misconduct allegations from multiple accusers that surfaced in mid-April, prompting his resignation from Congress and probes by Los Angeles and Manhattan district attorneys, plus reported DOJ scrutiny. No arrests or formal charges have materialized in the month since police reports were filed, underscoring the deliberate pace of criminal investigations requiring probable cause for high-profile figures. A related development saw a major Swalwell donor arrested this week on witness tampering felonies, but this has not accelerated action against Swalwell. Realistic shifts could stem from abrupt evidentiary breakthroughs yielding an arrest warrant before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,776समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.6% on former Rep. Eric Swalwell's arrest by May 31, reflecting the absence of charges or indictment despite serious sexual misconduct allegations from multiple accusers that surfaced in mid-April, prompting his resignation from Congress and probes by Los Angeles and Manhattan district attorneys, plus reported DOJ scrutiny. No arrests or formal charges have materialized in the month since police reports were filed, underscoring the deliberate pace of criminal investigations requiring probable cause for high-profile figures. A related development saw a major Swalwell donor arrested this week on witness tampering felonies, but this has not accelerated action against Swalwell. Realistic shifts could stem from abrupt evidentiary breakthroughs yielding an arrest warrant before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$12,776समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.6% on former Rep. Eric Swalwell's arrest by May 31, reflecting the absence of charges or indictment despite serious sexual misconduct allegations from multiple accusers that surfaced in mid-April, prompting his resignation from Congress and probes by Los Angeles and Manhattan district attorneys, plus reported DOJ scrutiny. No arrests or formal charges have materialized in the month since police reports were filed, underscoring the deliberate pace of criminal investigations requiring probable cause for high-profile figures. A related development saw a major Swalwell donor arrested this week on witness tampering felonies, but this has not accelerated action against Swalwell. Realistic shifts could stem from abrupt evidentiary breakthroughs yielding an arrest warrant before the deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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