Negotiations for a US-Iran permanent peace deal—requiring a signed treaty or mutual public confirmation explicitly ending military hostilities—hit a deadlock after President Trump rejected Tehran's 14-point counterproposal on May 11 as "totally unacceptable," focusing on demands to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, lift sanctions, release frozen assets, and withdraw US forces. Vice President JD Vance countered on May 13 that progress persists, amid a fragile Pakistan-brokered ceasefire holding since April 8 in the 2026 Iran war. Unresolved issues include Iran's nuclear and missile programs plus regional proxies. Second-round talks hosted by Pakistan and Qatar loom this week, as President Trump's Beijing summit with Xi Jinping introduces potential Chinese mediation influence.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअमेरिका x ईरान स्थायी शांति समझौता... तक?
अमेरिका x ईरान स्थायी शांति समझौता... तक?
$112,756,266 वॉल्यूम
15 मई
1%
31 मई
12%
30 जून
34%
31 दिसंबर
64%
$112,756,266 वॉल्यूम
15 मई
1%
31 मई
12%
30 जून
34%
31 दिसंबर
64%
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 27, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Negotiations for a US-Iran permanent peace deal—requiring a signed treaty or mutual public confirmation explicitly ending military hostilities—hit a deadlock after President Trump rejected Tehran's 14-point counterproposal on May 11 as "totally unacceptable," focusing on demands to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, lift sanctions, release frozen assets, and withdraw US forces. Vice President JD Vance countered on May 13 that progress persists, amid a fragile Pakistan-brokered ceasefire holding since April 8 in the 2026 Iran war. Unresolved issues include Iran's nuclear and missile programs plus regional proxies. Second-round talks hosted by Pakistan and Qatar loom this week, as President Trump's Beijing summit with Xi Jinping introduces potential Chinese mediation influence.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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