Fragile US-Iran ceasefire, strained by Iranian ceasefire violations on May 7 involving missile, drone, and boat attacks intercepted by US forces, and President Trump's May 13 warnings of renewed strikes absent a deal, anchors trader consensus on low odds for any listed figure entering Iran's terrestrial territory by June 30. No ground incursions have occurred since the war's February airstrikes via Operation Epic Fury, despite US regional deployments, Pentagon plans for limited operations, and Gulf states' strikes on Iranian targets. Iran bolsters IRGC defenses and rebuilds military capabilities with Russian aid during talks mediated by Pakistan; traders price slim probabilities—leading at 5% for any US House member—betting on sustained diplomatic standoff over escalation to physical entry.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$388,365 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
कोई अमेरिकी हाउस सदस्य
5%
कोई अमेरिकी सीनेटर
3%
जेरेड कुश्नर
2%
मार्को रुबियो
2%
पीट हेगसेथ
2%
जे.डी. वांस
1%
बेंजामिन नेतन्याहू
1%
डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प
1%
$388,365 वॉल्यूम
कोई अमेरिकी हाउस सदस्य
$86,764 वॉल्यूम
5%
कोई अमेरिकी सीनेटर
$29,990 वॉल्यूम
3%
जेरेड कुश्नर
$15,604 वॉल्यूम
2%
मार्को रुबियो
$21,470 वॉल्यूम
2%
पीट हेगसेथ
$92,649 वॉल्यूम
2%
जे.डी. वांस
$30,931 वॉल्यूम
1%
बेंजामिन नेतन्याहू
$42,283 वॉल्यूम
1%
डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प
$68,674 वॉल्यूम
1%
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Fragile US-Iran ceasefire, strained by Iranian ceasefire violations on May 7 involving missile, drone, and boat attacks intercepted by US forces, and President Trump's May 13 warnings of renewed strikes absent a deal, anchors trader consensus on low odds for any listed figure entering Iran's terrestrial territory by June 30. No ground incursions have occurred since the war's February airstrikes via Operation Epic Fury, despite US regional deployments, Pentagon plans for limited operations, and Gulf states' strikes on Iranian targets. Iran bolsters IRGC defenses and rebuilds military capabilities with Russian aid during talks mediated by Pakistan; traders price slim probabilities—leading at 5% for any US House member—betting on sustained diplomatic standoff over escalation to physical entry.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$388,365समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Fragile US-Iran ceasefire, strained by Iranian ceasefire violations on May 7 involving missile, drone, and boat attacks intercepted by US forces, and President Trump's May 13 warnings of renewed strikes absent a deal, anchors trader consensus on low odds for any listed figure entering Iran's terrestrial territory by June 30. No ground incursions have occurred since the war's February airstrikes via Operation Epic Fury, despite US regional deployments, Pentagon plans for limited operations, and Gulf states' strikes on Iranian targets. Iran bolsters IRGC defenses and rebuilds military capabilities with Russian aid during talks mediated by Pakistan; traders price slim probabilities—leading at 5% for any US House member—betting on sustained diplomatic standoff over escalation to physical entry.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$388,365समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Fragile US-Iran ceasefire, strained by Iranian ceasefire violations on May 7 involving missile, drone, and boat attacks intercepted by US forces, and President Trump's May 13 warnings of renewed strikes absent a deal, anchors trader consensus on low odds for any listed figure entering Iran's terrestrial territory by June 30. No ground incursions have occurred since the war's February airstrikes via Operation Epic Fury, despite US regional deployments, Pentagon plans for limited operations, and Gulf states' strikes on Iranian targets. Iran bolsters IRGC defenses and rebuilds military capabilities with Russian aid during talks mediated by Pakistan; traders price slim probabilities—leading at 5% for any US House member—betting on sustained diplomatic standoff over escalation to physical entry.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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