Political fragmentation across multiple parties amid Guinea-Bissau’s post-coup transition keeps the December 2026 National People’s Assembly race tightly contested, with no contender exceeding 20% in trader pricing. The August 2026 constitutional referendum, approved by 70% amid opposition boycott, reduces seats from 102 to 65 and consolidates constituencies, reshaping competition while the military-led transitional government prepares for elections on December 6. Recent party formations and realignments further dilute support, sustaining low implied probabilities for FREPASNA and the Republican Platform as frontrunners. Scheduled voting and any late coalition shifts could still alter seat outcomes before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयागिनी - बिसाऊ नेशनल पीपुल्स असेंबली चुनाव विजेता
गिनी - बिसाऊ नेशनल पीपुल्स असेंबली चुनाव विजेता
प्लेटफ़ॉर्मा रिपब्लिकाना “नो कुंपु गिनी” 14.4%
पीटी 6.6%
FLING 4.3%
पीएस 3.2%
$159,339 वॉल्यूम
$159,339 वॉल्यूम
22 नव, 2025
प्लेटफ़ॉर्मा रिपब्लिकाना “नो कुंपु गिनी”
14%
पीटी
7%
FLING
4%
पीएस
3%
MUNDO-GB
3%
FREPASNA
18%
प्लेटफ़ॉर्मा रिपब्लिकाना “नो कुंपु गिनी” 14.4%
पीटी 6.6%
FLING 4.3%
पीएस 3.2%
$159,339 वॉल्यूम
$159,339 वॉल्यूम
22 नव, 2025
प्लेटफ़ॉर्मा रिपब्लिकाना “नो कुंपु गिनी”
$48,626 वॉल्यूम
14%
पीटी
$21,911 वॉल्यूम
7%
FLING
$12,987 वॉल्यूम
4%
पीएस
$26,160 वॉल्यूम
3%
MUNDO-GB
$22,884 वॉल्यूम
3%
FREPASNA
$26,771 वॉल्यूम
18%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Political fragmentation across multiple parties amid Guinea-Bissau’s post-coup transition keeps the December 2026 National People’s Assembly race tightly contested, with no contender exceeding 20% in trader pricing. The August 2026 constitutional referendum, approved by 70% amid opposition boycott, reduces seats from 102 to 65 and consolidates constituencies, reshaping competition while the military-led transitional government prepares for elections on December 6. Recent party formations and realignments further dilute support, sustaining low implied probabilities for FREPASNA and the Republican Platform as frontrunners. Scheduled voting and any late coalition shifts could still alter seat outcomes before resolution.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$159,339समाप्ति तिथि
23 नव, 2025बाज़ार खुला
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Political fragmentation across multiple parties amid Guinea-Bissau’s post-coup transition keeps the December 2026 National People’s Assembly race tightly contested, with no contender exceeding 20% in trader pricing. The August 2026 constitutional referendum, approved by 70% amid opposition boycott, reduces seats from 102 to 65 and consolidates constituencies, reshaping competition while the military-led transitional government prepares for elections on December 6. Recent party formations and realignments further dilute support, sustaining low implied probabilities for FREPASNA and the Republican Platform as frontrunners. Scheduled voting and any late coalition shifts could still alter seat outcomes before resolution.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
वॉल्यूम
$159,339समाप्ति तिथि
23 नव, 2025बाज़ार खुला
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Political fragmentation across multiple parties amid Guinea-Bissau’s post-coup transition keeps the December 2026 National People’s Assembly race tightly contested, with no contender exceeding 20% in trader pricing. The August 2026 constitutional referendum, approved by 70% amid opposition boycott, reduces seats from 102 to 65 and consolidates constituencies, reshaping competition while the military-led transitional government prepares for elections on December 6. Recent party formations and realignments further dilute support, sustaining low implied probabilities for FREPASNA and the Republican Platform as frontrunners. Scheduled voting and any late coalition shifts could still alter seat outcomes before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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