Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s ongoing legal proceedings have shaped trader sentiment around his prison time, with the market heavily favoring no additional time at 79.1% implied probability. The most immediate catalyst is the mistrial declared on May 15, 2026, after a New York jury deadlocked 9-3 in favor of acquittal on a third-degree rape charge involving Jessica Mann—the third such inconclusive outcome in that case. Prosecutors now have 30 days to decide whether to pursue a fourth trial. Weinstein remains incarcerated at Rikers Island while appealing his separate 16-year California conviction and weighing potential plea options that could run concurrently. His advanced age, reported health concerns, and the pattern of hung juries have fueled market consensus that further significant prison time is unlikely in the near term, though unresolved charges introduce ongoing uncertainty.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहार्वे वाइनस्टीन जेल का समय?
हार्वे वाइनस्टीन जेल का समय?
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं 79.2%
5 वर्ष से कम 5.1%
20-30 साल 4.2%
5-10 साल 3.5%
$991,316 वॉल्यूम
$991,316 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2025
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं
79%
5 वर्ष से कम
5%
5-10 साल
4%
10-20 साल
3%
20-30 साल
4%
30+ साल
1%
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं 79.2%
5 वर्ष से कम 5.1%
20-30 साल 4.2%
5-10 साल 3.5%
$991,316 वॉल्यूम
$991,316 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2025
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं
$349,079 वॉल्यूम
79%
5 वर्ष से कम
$131,345 वॉल्यूम
5%
5-10 साल
$79,813 वॉल्यूम
4%
10-20 साल
$158,966 वॉल्यूम
3%
20-30 साल
$199,640 वॉल्यूम
4%
30+ साल
$72,473 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s ongoing legal proceedings have shaped trader sentiment around his prison time, with the market heavily favoring no additional time at 79.1% implied probability. The most immediate catalyst is the mistrial declared on May 15, 2026, after a New York jury deadlocked 9-3 in favor of acquittal on a third-degree rape charge involving Jessica Mann—the third such inconclusive outcome in that case. Prosecutors now have 30 days to decide whether to pursue a fourth trial. Weinstein remains incarcerated at Rikers Island while appealing his separate 16-year California conviction and weighing potential plea options that could run concurrently. His advanced age, reported health concerns, and the pattern of hung juries have fueled market consensus that further significant prison time is unlikely in the near term, though unresolved charges introduce ongoing uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$991,316समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s ongoing legal proceedings have shaped trader sentiment around his prison time, with the market heavily favoring no additional time at 79.1% implied probability. The most immediate catalyst is the mistrial declared on May 15, 2026, after a New York jury deadlocked 9-3 in favor of acquittal on a third-degree rape charge involving Jessica Mann—the third such inconclusive outcome in that case. Prosecutors now have 30 days to decide whether to pursue a fourth trial. Weinstein remains incarcerated at Rikers Island while appealing his separate 16-year California conviction and weighing potential plea options that could run concurrently. His advanced age, reported health concerns, and the pattern of hung juries have fueled market consensus that further significant prison time is unlikely in the near term, though unresolved charges introduce ongoing uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$991,316समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s ongoing legal proceedings have shaped trader sentiment around his prison time, with the market heavily favoring no additional time at 79.1% implied probability. The most immediate catalyst is the mistrial declared on May 15, 2026, after a New York jury deadlocked 9-3 in favor of acquittal on a third-degree rape charge involving Jessica Mann—the third such inconclusive outcome in that case. Prosecutors now have 30 days to decide whether to pursue a fourth trial. Weinstein remains incarcerated at Rikers Island while appealing his separate 16-year California conviction and weighing potential plea options that could run concurrently. His advanced age, reported health concerns, and the pattern of hung juries have fueled market consensus that further significant prison time is unlikely in the near term, though unresolved charges introduce ongoing uncertainty.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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