The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann allegations, has sharply elevated market-implied odds for no additional prison time. With the charge now in limbo after three trials, traders appear focused on Weinstein’s existing 16-year California sentence and pending New York sentencing for the Miriam Haley conviction, both subject to appeals. His ongoing health challenges and potential for consecutive time have not outweighed the uncertainty created by the latest deadlock. Key upcoming catalysts include any Manhattan DA decision on a fourth trial and rulings on the California appeal, both of which could reshape the overall incarceration timeline in this long-running #MeToo case.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहार्वे वाइनस्टीन जेल का समय?
हार्वे वाइनस्टीन जेल का समय?
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं 80.8%
5 वर्ष से कम 7.0%
5-10 साल 4.8%
10-20 साल 3.5%
$989,754 वॉल्यूम
$989,754 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2025
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं
81%
5 वर्ष से कम
7%
5-10 साल
5%
10-20 साल
3%
20-30 साल
3%
30+ साल
1%
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं 80.8%
5 वर्ष से कम 7.0%
5-10 साल 4.8%
10-20 साल 3.5%
$989,754 वॉल्यूम
$989,754 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2025
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं
$348,735 वॉल्यूम
81%
5 वर्ष से कम
$131,255 वॉल्यूम
7%
5-10 साल
$79,723 वॉल्यूम
5%
10-20 साल
$158,030 वॉल्यूम
3%
20-30 साल
$199,546 वॉल्यूम
3%
30+ साल
$72,465 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann allegations, has sharply elevated market-implied odds for no additional prison time. With the charge now in limbo after three trials, traders appear focused on Weinstein’s existing 16-year California sentence and pending New York sentencing for the Miriam Haley conviction, both subject to appeals. His ongoing health challenges and potential for consecutive time have not outweighed the uncertainty created by the latest deadlock. Key upcoming catalysts include any Manhattan DA decision on a fourth trial and rulings on the California appeal, both of which could reshape the overall incarceration timeline in this long-running #MeToo case.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$989,754समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann allegations, has sharply elevated market-implied odds for no additional prison time. With the charge now in limbo after three trials, traders appear focused on Weinstein’s existing 16-year California sentence and pending New York sentencing for the Miriam Haley conviction, both subject to appeals. His ongoing health challenges and potential for consecutive time have not outweighed the uncertainty created by the latest deadlock. Key upcoming catalysts include any Manhattan DA decision on a fourth trial and rulings on the California appeal, both of which could reshape the overall incarceration timeline in this long-running #MeToo case.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$989,754समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann allegations, has sharply elevated market-implied odds for no additional prison time. With the charge now in limbo after three trials, traders appear focused on Weinstein’s existing 16-year California sentence and pending New York sentencing for the Miriam Haley conviction, both subject to appeals. His ongoing health challenges and potential for consecutive time have not outweighed the uncertainty created by the latest deadlock. Key upcoming catalysts include any Manhattan DA decision on a fourth trial and rulings on the California appeal, both of which could reshape the overall incarceration timeline in this long-running #MeToo case.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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