Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 90–92°F in Chicago on September 1, supported by a warm, humid air mass, southwest winds of 5–15 mph, and only a slight chance of morning showers. This late-August pattern of above-normal temperatures, reinforced by the Climate Prediction Center’s extended outlook favoring warmth across the Midwest, positions the 90–91°F bin as the market favorite at 42.5 percent implied probability. Nearby bins (88–89°F and 92–93°F) capture remaining forecast spread, while cooler or much hotter outcomes remain low-probability given current steering patterns and limited model disagreement. Updated model runs and the next NWS discussion will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any odds movement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1 सितंबर को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
1 सितंबर को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
90-91°F 43%
88-89°F 26%
86-87°F 22%
92-93°F 20%
नया
नया
1 सित, 2026
81°F या उससे कम
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
90-91°F 43%
88-89°F 26%
86-87°F 22%
92-93°F 20%
नया
नया
1 सित, 2026
81°F या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
82-83°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
84-85°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
86-87°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
88-89°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
90-91°F
$63 वॉल्यूम
43%
92-93°F
$115 वॉल्यूम
20%
94-95°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
19%
96-97°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
98-99°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
100°F या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 90–92°F in Chicago on September 1, supported by a warm, humid air mass, southwest winds of 5–15 mph, and only a slight chance of morning showers. This late-August pattern of above-normal temperatures, reinforced by the Climate Prediction Center’s extended outlook favoring warmth across the Midwest, positions the 90–91°F bin as the market favorite at 42.5 percent implied probability. Nearby bins (88–89°F and 92–93°F) capture remaining forecast spread, while cooler or much hotter outcomes remain low-probability given current steering patterns and limited model disagreement. Updated model runs and the next NWS discussion will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any odds movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$178समाप्ति तिथि
1 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 90–92°F in Chicago on September 1, supported by a warm, humid air mass, southwest winds of 5–15 mph, and only a slight chance of morning showers. This late-August pattern of above-normal temperatures, reinforced by the Climate Prediction Center’s extended outlook favoring warmth across the Midwest, positions the 90–91°F bin as the market favorite at 42.5 percent implied probability. Nearby bins (88–89°F and 92–93°F) capture remaining forecast spread, while cooler or much hotter outcomes remain low-probability given current steering patterns and limited model disagreement. Updated model runs and the next NWS discussion will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any odds movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$178समाप्ति तिथि
1 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 90–92°F in Chicago on September 1, supported by a warm, humid air mass, southwest winds of 5–15 mph, and only a slight chance of morning showers. This late-August pattern of above-normal temperatures, reinforced by the Climate Prediction Center’s extended outlook favoring warmth across the Midwest, positions the 90–91°F bin as the market favorite at 42.5 percent implied probability. Nearby bins (88–89°F and 92–93°F) capture remaining forecast spread, while cooler or much hotter outcomes remain low-probability given current steering patterns and limited model disagreement. Updated model runs and the next NWS discussion will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any odds movement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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