**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on a 30°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on August 14, 2026, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory measurements that placed the peak temperature at that precise threshold.** After an intense early-August heatwave driven by Typhoon Dolphin, which produced record highs near 36.9°C at the Observatory headquarters and even higher readings at peripheral stations, conditions moderated by mid-month. Increased cloud cover, occasional showers, and shifting wind patterns limited afternoon heating, aligning with the reported continuation of very hot days (33°C+) through the period while capping the Aug 14 peak. Historical climatology for mid-August supports typical maxima around 31–32°C under similar regimes, making the observed 30°C reading consistent with verified data rather than forecast divergence. The only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution involve post-event data revisions from the Observatory or discrepancies in station-specific records, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary values are confirmed.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया14 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 99.9%
29°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$237,240 वॉल्यूम
$237,240 वॉल्यूम
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.9%
29°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$237,240 वॉल्यूम
$237,240 वॉल्यूम
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on a 30°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on August 14, 2026, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory measurements that placed the peak temperature at that precise threshold.** After an intense early-August heatwave driven by Typhoon Dolphin, which produced record highs near 36.9°C at the Observatory headquarters and even higher readings at peripheral stations, conditions moderated by mid-month. Increased cloud cover, occasional showers, and shifting wind patterns limited afternoon heating, aligning with the reported continuation of very hot days (33°C+) through the period while capping the Aug 14 peak. Historical climatology for mid-August supports typical maxima around 31–32°C under similar regimes, making the observed 30°C reading consistent with verified data rather than forecast divergence. The only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution involve post-event data revisions from the Observatory or discrepancies in station-specific records, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary values are confirmed.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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