Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29°C and 30°C maxima for Hong Kong on September 2 because official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models converge on afternoon peaks in that narrow band amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwest winds of 4–6 on the Beaufort scale. A nearby tropical cyclone is enhancing moisture and limiting insolation, while high humidity near 80–95% further caps radiative heating. Model runs show modest afternoon clearing potential that could allow brief warming to 31°C, yet widespread rain keeps the distribution centered near 29°C. Updated guidance on shower timing and any model consensus shifts will be the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2 सितंबर को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
2 सितंबर को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
29°C 32%
30°C 28%
28°C 21%
31°C 12%
नया
नया
2 सित, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
21%
29°C
32%
30°C
28%
31°C
12%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
30°C 28%
28°C 21%
31°C 12%
नया
नया
2 सित, 2026
24°C or below
$807 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$472 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$590 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$2,122 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$2,510 वॉल्यूम
21%
29°C
$559 वॉल्यूम
32%
30°C
$375 वॉल्यूम
28%
31°C
$602 वॉल्यूम
12%
32°C
$490 वॉल्यूम
3%
33°C
$171 वॉल्यूम
1%
34°C or higher
$272 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29°C and 30°C maxima for Hong Kong on September 2 because official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models converge on afternoon peaks in that narrow band amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwest winds of 4–6 on the Beaufort scale. A nearby tropical cyclone is enhancing moisture and limiting insolation, while high humidity near 80–95% further caps radiative heating. Model runs show modest afternoon clearing potential that could allow brief warming to 31°C, yet widespread rain keeps the distribution centered near 29°C. Updated guidance on shower timing and any model consensus shifts will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,802समाप्ति तिथि
2 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29°C and 30°C maxima for Hong Kong on September 2 because official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models converge on afternoon peaks in that narrow band amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwest winds of 4–6 on the Beaufort scale. A nearby tropical cyclone is enhancing moisture and limiting insolation, while high humidity near 80–95% further caps radiative heating. Model runs show modest afternoon clearing potential that could allow brief warming to 31°C, yet widespread rain keeps the distribution centered near 29°C. Updated guidance on shower timing and any model consensus shifts will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$7,802समाप्ति तिथि
2 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29°C and 30°C maxima for Hong Kong on September 2 because official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models converge on afternoon peaks in that narrow band amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwest winds of 4–6 on the Beaufort scale. A nearby tropical cyclone is enhancing moisture and limiting insolation, while high humidity near 80–95% further caps radiative heating. Model runs show modest afternoon clearing potential that could allow brief warming to 31°C, yet widespread rain keeps the distribution centered near 29°C. Updated guidance on shower timing and any model consensus shifts will be the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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