Current numerical weather prediction models from Spain’s AEMET and the ECMWF ensemble indicate a most probable daily maximum temperature of 34–36°C for Madrid on July 17, aligning directly with the market’s highest implied probabilities on those outcomes. Persistent high-pressure dominance and above-average 850 hPa temperatures across the Iberian interior sustain this range, consistent with July climatology and the ongoing seasonal warming trend documented by AEMET. Ensemble spread remains modest, with limited model disagreement on steering patterns or timing of any weak Atlantic trough that could modestly suppress peaks. Updated short-range guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 जुलाई को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
17 जुलाई को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
35°C 48%
34°C 25%
36°C 23%
33°C 6%
नया
नया
17 जुल, 2026
30°C या उससे कम
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
6%
34°C
25%
35°C
48%
36°C
23%
37°C
5%
38°C
4%
39°C
3%
40°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
35°C 48%
34°C 25%
36°C 23%
33°C 6%
नया
नया
17 जुल, 2026
30°C या उससे कम
$113 वॉल्यूम
1%
31°C
$92 वॉल्यूम
1%
32°C
$103 वॉल्यूम
4%
33°C
$106 वॉल्यूम
6%
34°C
$242 वॉल्यूम
25%
35°C
$258 वॉल्यूम
48%
36°C
$91 वॉल्यूम
23%
37°C
$95 वॉल्यूम
5%
38°C
$106 वॉल्यूम
4%
39°C
$96 वॉल्यूम
3%
40°C या उससे अधिक
$51 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from Spain’s AEMET and the ECMWF ensemble indicate a most probable daily maximum temperature of 34–36°C for Madrid on July 17, aligning directly with the market’s highest implied probabilities on those outcomes. Persistent high-pressure dominance and above-average 850 hPa temperatures across the Iberian interior sustain this range, consistent with July climatology and the ongoing seasonal warming trend documented by AEMET. Ensemble spread remains modest, with limited model disagreement on steering patterns or timing of any weak Atlantic trough that could modestly suppress peaks. Updated short-range guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,342समाप्ति तिथि
17 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from Spain’s AEMET and the ECMWF ensemble indicate a most probable daily maximum temperature of 34–36°C for Madrid on July 17, aligning directly with the market’s highest implied probabilities on those outcomes. Persistent high-pressure dominance and above-average 850 hPa temperatures across the Iberian interior sustain this range, consistent with July climatology and the ongoing seasonal warming trend documented by AEMET. Ensemble spread remains modest, with limited model disagreement on steering patterns or timing of any weak Atlantic trough that could modestly suppress peaks. Updated short-range guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,342समाप्ति तिथि
17 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models from Spain’s AEMET and the ECMWF ensemble indicate a most probable daily maximum temperature of 34–36°C for Madrid on July 17, aligning directly with the market’s highest implied probabilities on those outcomes. Persistent high-pressure dominance and above-average 850 hPa temperatures across the Iberian interior sustain this range, consistent with July climatology and the ongoing seasonal warming trend documented by AEMET. Ensemble spread remains modest, with limited model disagreement on steering patterns or timing of any weak Atlantic trough that could modestly suppress peaks. Updated short-range guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न