Recent meteorological model consensus and current high-pressure dominance over the Iberian Peninsula position 39°C as the leading outcome for Madrid’s July 5 maximum, with 40°C close behind. Early-July forecasts from agencies show daytime highs climbing to 36–38°C by July 4–5 amid clear skies and light easterly flow, consistent with climatological peaks near 34°C but elevated by recent warming trends. Limited model spread and absence of significant moisture or frontal activity reduce the chance of cooler readings below 38°C or extremes above 41°C. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities as surface observations and ensemble guidance evolve.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Madrid on July 5?
Highest temperature in Madrid on July 5?
39°C 57%
38°C 34%
40°C 9%
37°C 1.8%
नया
नया
5 जुल, 2026
35°C or below
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
2%
38°C
34%
39°C
57%
40°C
9%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
39°C 57%
38°C 34%
40°C 9%
37°C 1.8%
नया
नया
5 जुल, 2026
35°C or below
$309 वॉल्यूम
<1%
36°C
$435 वॉल्यूम
1%
37°C
$641 वॉल्यूम
2%
38°C
$1,277 वॉल्यूम
34%
39°C
$3,487 वॉल्यूम
57%
40°C
$799 वॉल्यूम
9%
41°C
$403 वॉल्यूम
<1%
42°C
$367 वॉल्यूम
<1%
43°C
$309 वॉल्यूम
<1%
44°C
$161 वॉल्यूम
<1%
45°C or higher
$243 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus and current high-pressure dominance over the Iberian Peninsula position 39°C as the leading outcome for Madrid’s July 5 maximum, with 40°C close behind. Early-July forecasts from agencies show daytime highs climbing to 36–38°C by July 4–5 amid clear skies and light easterly flow, consistent with climatological peaks near 34°C but elevated by recent warming trends. Limited model spread and absence of significant moisture or frontal activity reduce the chance of cooler readings below 38°C or extremes above 41°C. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities as surface observations and ensemble guidance evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,431समाप्ति तिथि
5 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus and current high-pressure dominance over the Iberian Peninsula position 39°C as the leading outcome for Madrid’s July 5 maximum, with 40°C close behind. Early-July forecasts from agencies show daytime highs climbing to 36–38°C by July 4–5 amid clear skies and light easterly flow, consistent with climatological peaks near 34°C but elevated by recent warming trends. Limited model spread and absence of significant moisture or frontal activity reduce the chance of cooler readings below 38°C or extremes above 41°C. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities as surface observations and ensemble guidance evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$8,431समाप्ति तिथि
5 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus and current high-pressure dominance over the Iberian Peninsula position 39°C as the leading outcome for Madrid’s July 5 maximum, with 40°C close behind. Early-July forecasts from agencies show daytime highs climbing to 36–38°C by July 4–5 amid clear skies and light easterly flow, consistent with climatological peaks near 34°C but elevated by recent warming trends. Limited model spread and absence of significant moisture or frontal activity reduce the chance of cooler readings below 38°C or extremes above 41°C. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities as surface observations and ensemble guidance evolve.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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