Traders have converged on an 86-87°F high for New York City on August 12 with near-certainty because National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs consistently projected a peak in that narrow range under seasonable high pressure and light winds. Official guidance from the New York forecast office placed the Central Park and LaGuardia Airport readings near the upper end of normal August maxima (historical average high around 83°F), with limited cloud cover and modest humidity supporting modest daytime heating without triggering stronger convection. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this strong model consensus and limited upside risk from unexpected marine influences or rapid destabilization. A realistic challenge would require a last-minute forecast revision from the NWS or an observational discrepancy at the resolution station exceeding typical model error margins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
12 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
86-87°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$86,861 वॉल्यूम
$86,861 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$86,861 वॉल्यूम
$86,861 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
79°F or below
$1,257 वॉल्यूम
No
80-81°F
$1,163 वॉल्यूम
No
82-83°F
$8,007 वॉल्यूम
No
84-85°F
$19,660 वॉल्यूम
No
86-87°F
$21,026 वॉल्यूम
Yes
88-89°F
$16,282 वॉल्यूम
No
90-91°F
$12,128 वॉल्यूम
No
92-93°F
$5,653 वॉल्यूम
No
94-95°F
$760 वॉल्यूम
No
96-97°F
$543 वॉल्यूम
No
98°F or higher
$381 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on an 86-87°F high for New York City on August 12 with near-certainty because National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs consistently projected a peak in that narrow range under seasonable high pressure and light winds. Official guidance from the New York forecast office placed the Central Park and LaGuardia Airport readings near the upper end of normal August maxima (historical average high around 83°F), with limited cloud cover and modest humidity supporting modest daytime heating without triggering stronger convection. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this strong model consensus and limited upside risk from unexpected marine influences or rapid destabilization. A realistic challenge would require a last-minute forecast revision from the NWS or an observational discrepancy at the resolution station exceeding typical model error margins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$86,861समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETपरिणाम प्रस्तावित: Yes
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on an 86-87°F high for New York City on August 12 with near-certainty because National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs consistently projected a peak in that narrow range under seasonable high pressure and light winds. Official guidance from the New York forecast office placed the Central Park and LaGuardia Airport readings near the upper end of normal August maxima (historical average high around 83°F), with limited cloud cover and modest humidity supporting modest daytime heating without triggering stronger convection. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this strong model consensus and limited upside risk from unexpected marine influences or rapid destabilization. A realistic challenge would require a last-minute forecast revision from the NWS or an observational discrepancy at the resolution station exceeding typical model error margins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$86,861समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETपरिणाम प्रस्तावित: Yes
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: Yes
Traders have converged on an 86-87°F high for New York City on August 12 with near-certainty because National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs consistently projected a peak in that narrow range under seasonable high pressure and light winds. Official guidance from the New York forecast office placed the Central Park and LaGuardia Airport readings near the upper end of normal August maxima (historical average high around 83°F), with limited cloud cover and modest humidity supporting modest daytime heating without triggering stronger convection. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this strong model consensus and limited upside risk from unexpected marine influences or rapid destabilization. A realistic challenge would require a last-minute forecast revision from the NWS or an observational discrepancy at the resolution station exceeding typical model error margins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न