Current short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places the September 2 maximum in Paris near 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and surface pressures near 1022 hPa that limit strong advection or mixing. Diurnal heating under broken cloud cover supports afternoon peaks around 25 °C, consistent with the 50.5 % market-implied probability for that outcome and the combined 93.5 % weight on 24–26 °C. Historical climatology for the date shows a 23.5 °C average high, so the current setup represents modest positive departure without extreme ridging. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance most heavily, with limited dispersion across runs reducing the odds of 23 °C or 27 °C. New 00z and 12z model cycles expected overnight will provide the next refinement ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2 सितंबर को पेरिस में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
2 सितंबर को पेरिस में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
25°C 49%
24°C 28%
26°C 16%
23°C 6%
नया
$16,690 वॉल्यूम
नया
$16,690 वॉल्यूम
2 सित, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
28%
25°C
49%
26°C
16%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 49%
24°C 28%
26°C 16%
23°C 6%
नया
$16,690 वॉल्यूम
नया
$16,690 वॉल्यूम
2 सित, 2026
20°C or below
$420 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$204 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$596 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$1,990 वॉल्यूम
6%
24°C
$4,960 वॉल्यूम
28%
25°C
$2,769 वॉल्यूम
49%
26°C
$1,945 वॉल्यूम
16%
27°C
$1,452 वॉल्यूम
3%
28°C
$232 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$931 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,191 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places the September 2 maximum in Paris near 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and surface pressures near 1022 hPa that limit strong advection or mixing. Diurnal heating under broken cloud cover supports afternoon peaks around 25 °C, consistent with the 50.5 % market-implied probability for that outcome and the combined 93.5 % weight on 24–26 °C. Historical climatology for the date shows a 23.5 °C average high, so the current setup represents modest positive departure without extreme ridging. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance most heavily, with limited dispersion across runs reducing the odds of 23 °C or 27 °C. New 00z and 12z model cycles expected overnight will provide the next refinement ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$16,690समाप्ति तिथि
2 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places the September 2 maximum in Paris near 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and surface pressures near 1022 hPa that limit strong advection or mixing. Diurnal heating under broken cloud cover supports afternoon peaks around 25 °C, consistent with the 50.5 % market-implied probability for that outcome and the combined 93.5 % weight on 24–26 °C. Historical climatology for the date shows a 23.5 °C average high, so the current setup represents modest positive departure without extreme ridging. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance most heavily, with limited dispersion across runs reducing the odds of 23 °C or 27 °C. New 00z and 12z model cycles expected overnight will provide the next refinement ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$16,690समाप्ति तिथि
2 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places the September 2 maximum in Paris near 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and surface pressures near 1022 hPa that limit strong advection or mixing. Diurnal heating under broken cloud cover supports afternoon peaks around 25 °C, consistent with the 50.5 % market-implied probability for that outcome and the combined 93.5 % weight on 24–26 °C. Historical climatology for the date shows a 23.5 °C average high, so the current setup represents modest positive departure without extreme ridging. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance most heavily, with limited dispersion across runs reducing the odds of 23 °C or 27 °C. New 00z and 12z model cycles expected overnight will provide the next refinement ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न