**Market-implied odds remain evenly distributed across temperature bins because short-range forecast guidance for Seoul/Incheon on September 7 shows a tight cluster around 28–29 °C with modest model spread.** Official outlooks from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to mostly sunny skies, light northeast winds, and limited moisture under a stable subtropical ridge, conditions that typically produce afternoon maxima near the September climatological average of roughly 26–27 °C. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, or ridge position can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, which is why traders assign comparable implied probabilities to adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings through the weekend will likely narrow the distribution as resolution approaches.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया7 सितंबर को सियोल (इंचियोन) में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
29°C 43%
28°C 36%
31°C 18%
30°C 12%
22°C या उससे कम
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
10%
28°C
23%
29°C
43%
30°C
12%
31°C
18%
32°C या अधिक
4%
29°C 43%
28°C 36%
31°C 18%
30°C 12%
22°C या उससे कम
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
10%
28°C
23%
29°C
43%
30°C
12%
31°C
18%
32°C या अधिक
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds remain evenly distributed across temperature bins because short-range forecast guidance for Seoul/Incheon on September 7 shows a tight cluster around 28–29 °C with modest model spread.** Official outlooks from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to mostly sunny skies, light northeast winds, and limited moisture under a stable subtropical ridge, conditions that typically produce afternoon maxima near the September climatological average of roughly 26–27 °C. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, or ridge position can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, which is why traders assign comparable implied probabilities to adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings through the weekend will likely narrow the distribution as resolution approaches.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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