Recent northwest winds and springtime synoptic patterns over New Zealand are driving trader focus on a 15–16 °C maximum for Wellington on September 5. Official guidance from MetService and international models currently clusters daily highs in this narrow band, with partly cloudy skies, gusty conditions, and limited moisture expected to moderate daytime warming. Minor differences in model timing of any weak frontal passage or cloud cover explain the near-even split between the two leading outcomes, while historical September averages near 14–15 °C provide context for why extremes remain low-probability. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
5 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15°C 46%
16°C 46%
17°C 8%
14°C 5%
नया
नया
5 सित, 2026
10°C या उससे कम
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
46%
16°C
46%
17°C
8%
18°C
4%
19°C
3%
20°C या उससे अधिक
1%
15°C 46%
16°C 46%
17°C 8%
14°C 5%
नया
नया
5 सित, 2026
10°C या उससे कम
$25 वॉल्यूम
1%
11°C
$133 वॉल्यूम
<1%
12°C
$35 वॉल्यूम
1%
13°C
$90 वॉल्यूम
2%
14°C
$165 वॉल्यूम
5%
15°C
$398 वॉल्यूम
46%
16°C
$1,352 वॉल्यूम
46%
17°C
$168 वॉल्यूम
8%
18°C
$110 वॉल्यूम
4%
19°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
3%
20°C या उससे अधिक
$20 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northwest winds and springtime synoptic patterns over New Zealand are driving trader focus on a 15–16 °C maximum for Wellington on September 5. Official guidance from MetService and international models currently clusters daily highs in this narrow band, with partly cloudy skies, gusty conditions, and limited moisture expected to moderate daytime warming. Minor differences in model timing of any weak frontal passage or cloud cover explain the near-even split between the two leading outcomes, while historical September averages near 14–15 °C provide context for why extremes remain low-probability. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,496समाप्ति तिथि
5 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northwest winds and springtime synoptic patterns over New Zealand are driving trader focus on a 15–16 °C maximum for Wellington on September 5. Official guidance from MetService and international models currently clusters daily highs in this narrow band, with partly cloudy skies, gusty conditions, and limited moisture expected to moderate daytime warming. Minor differences in model timing of any weak frontal passage or cloud cover explain the near-even split between the two leading outcomes, while historical September averages near 14–15 °C provide context for why extremes remain low-probability. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,496समाप्ति तिथि
5 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent northwest winds and springtime synoptic patterns over New Zealand are driving trader focus on a 15–16 °C maximum for Wellington on September 5. Official guidance from MetService and international models currently clusters daily highs in this narrow band, with partly cloudy skies, gusty conditions, and limited moisture expected to moderate daytime warming. Minor differences in model timing of any weak frontal passage or cloud cover explain the near-even split between the two leading outcomes, while historical September averages near 14–15 °C provide context for why extremes remain low-probability. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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