The market consensus favoring 31°C as the most likely high for Tel Aviv on July 5 aligns with established July climatology, where average daily maxima reach 30–32°C under the influence of the subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light westerly flow. Coastal sea breezes from the Mediterranean provide consistent moderation that rarely allows extremes above 33°C or below 29°C this early in the month. Recent extended-range guidance from models shows stable conditions with minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming heat dome or upper-level trough to shift temperatures notably. Traders therefore assign low implied odds to outliers, reflecting both historical frequency and the narrow forecast spread two days ahead.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 5?
31°C 66%
32°C 24%
30°C 5.8%
33°C 4%
$10,035 वॉल्यूम
$10,035 वॉल्यूम
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
66%
32°C
24%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 66%
32°C 24%
30°C 5.8%
33°C 4%
$10,035 वॉल्यूम
$10,035 वॉल्यूम
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
66%
32°C
24%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The market consensus favoring 31°C as the most likely high for Tel Aviv on July 5 aligns with established July climatology, where average daily maxima reach 30–32°C under the influence of the subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light westerly flow. Coastal sea breezes from the Mediterranean provide consistent moderation that rarely allows extremes above 33°C or below 29°C this early in the month. Recent extended-range guidance from models shows stable conditions with minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming heat dome or upper-level trough to shift temperatures notably. Traders therefore assign low implied odds to outliers, reflecting both historical frequency and the narrow forecast spread two days ahead.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न