Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan for summer 2026, driven by a stronger Pacific High, yet short-term model guidance for early August points to moderating conditions in Tokyo with possible cloud cover and variable onshore flow limiting peaks. Historical August maxima average near 31.8°C, but day-to-day variability from humidity, urban heat retention, and steering patterns often produces ranges of 27–30°C. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered on 28–29°C, traders appear focused on these near-term factors over the broader warm anomaly, as updated forecast runs and observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency will refine resolution thresholds in coming days.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
4 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
28°C 30%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
30°C 13%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
20%
28°C
30%
29°C
29%
30°C
13%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
3%
28°C 30%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
30°C 13%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
22°C or below
$419 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$409 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$499 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$20 वॉल्यूम
2%
26°C
$36 वॉल्यूम
6%
27°C
$160 वॉल्यूम
20%
28°C
$249 वॉल्यूम
30%
29°C
$24 वॉल्यूम
29%
30°C
$223 वॉल्यूम
13%
31°C
$477 वॉल्यूम
5%
32°C or higher
$10 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan for summer 2026, driven by a stronger Pacific High, yet short-term model guidance for early August points to moderating conditions in Tokyo with possible cloud cover and variable onshore flow limiting peaks. Historical August maxima average near 31.8°C, but day-to-day variability from humidity, urban heat retention, and steering patterns often produces ranges of 27–30°C. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered on 28–29°C, traders appear focused on these near-term factors over the broader warm anomaly, as updated forecast runs and observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency will refine resolution thresholds in coming days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,525समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan for summer 2026, driven by a stronger Pacific High, yet short-term model guidance for early August points to moderating conditions in Tokyo with possible cloud cover and variable onshore flow limiting peaks. Historical August maxima average near 31.8°C, but day-to-day variability from humidity, urban heat retention, and steering patterns often produces ranges of 27–30°C. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered on 28–29°C, traders appear focused on these near-term factors over the broader warm anomaly, as updated forecast runs and observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency will refine resolution thresholds in coming days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,525समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan for summer 2026, driven by a stronger Pacific High, yet short-term model guidance for early August points to moderating conditions in Tokyo with possible cloud cover and variable onshore flow limiting peaks. Historical August maxima average near 31.8°C, but day-to-day variability from humidity, urban heat retention, and steering patterns often produces ranges of 27–30°C. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered on 28–29°C, traders appear focused on these near-term factors over the broader warm anomaly, as updated forecast runs and observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency will refine resolution thresholds in coming days.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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