Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C in Tokyo on September 2 under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds, consistent with the market's leading 49% implied probability for that outcome. Afternoon readings in the 30–32°C range align with current model consensus and recent observations of 29–30°C on September 1, while higher values above 33°C remain unlikely without stronger subsidence or clearer skies. A developing frontal system and increasing moisture may moderate peaks, supporting the combined 73% probability on 30–32°C. Updated model runs and JMA guidance expected overnight will provide the next key data point for resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2 सितंबर को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
2 सितंबर को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 49%
30°C 24%
32°C 15%
29°C 9%
नया
नया
2 सित, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
24%
31°C
49%
32°C
15%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 49%
30°C 24%
32°C 15%
29°C 9%
नया
नया
2 सित, 2026
26°C or below
$2,159 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$414 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$366 वॉल्यूम
4%
29°C
$655 वॉल्यूम
9%
30°C
$1,230 वॉल्यूम
24%
31°C
$1,119 वॉल्यूम
49%
32°C
$1,562 वॉल्यूम
15%
33°C
$1,188 वॉल्यूम
3%
34°C
$448 वॉल्यूम
2%
35°C
$393 वॉल्यूम
<1%
36°C or higher
$353 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C in Tokyo on September 2 under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds, consistent with the market's leading 49% implied probability for that outcome. Afternoon readings in the 30–32°C range align with current model consensus and recent observations of 29–30°C on September 1, while higher values above 33°C remain unlikely without stronger subsidence or clearer skies. A developing frontal system and increasing moisture may moderate peaks, supporting the combined 73% probability on 30–32°C. Updated model runs and JMA guidance expected overnight will provide the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,887समाप्ति तिथि
2 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C in Tokyo on September 2 under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds, consistent with the market's leading 49% implied probability for that outcome. Afternoon readings in the 30–32°C range align with current model consensus and recent observations of 29–30°C on September 1, while higher values above 33°C remain unlikely without stronger subsidence or clearer skies. A developing frontal system and increasing moisture may moderate peaks, supporting the combined 73% probability on 30–32°C. Updated model runs and JMA guidance expected overnight will provide the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$9,887समाप्ति तिथि
2 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C in Tokyo on September 2 under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds, consistent with the market's leading 49% implied probability for that outcome. Afternoon readings in the 30–32°C range align with current model consensus and recent observations of 29–30°C on September 1, while higher values above 33°C remain unlikely without stronger subsidence or clearer skies. A developing frontal system and increasing moisture may moderate peaks, supporting the combined 73% probability on 30–32°C. Updated model runs and JMA guidance expected overnight will provide the next key data point for resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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