Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for September 6 point to a daily maximum near 25°C under cloudy skies with rain developing later, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 24–25°C. Persistent cloud cover limits solar heating while precipitation and northeasterly flow introduce evaporative cooling and marine air, keeping peaks below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 29°C. Ensemble model spreads and the precise timing of heaviest rain introduce modest uncertainty around the exact maximum, supporting the tight clustering between 23°C and 26°C outcomes observed in trader positioning. Updated JMA guidance and short-range model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 सितंबर को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
6 सितंबर को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
24°C 32%
25°C 32%
23°C 20%
26°C 9%
नया
नया
6 सित, 2026
19°C या उससे कम
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
20%
24°C
32%
25°C
32%
26°C
9%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C या अधिक
<1%
24°C 32%
25°C 32%
23°C 20%
26°C 9%
नया
नया
6 सित, 2026
19°C या उससे कम
$1,245 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$672 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$168 वॉल्यूम
2%
22°C
$478 वॉल्यूम
4%
23°C
$1,354 वॉल्यूम
20%
24°C
$778 वॉल्यूम
32%
25°C
$1,541 वॉल्यूम
32%
26°C
$1,582 वॉल्यूम
9%
27°C
$410 वॉल्यूम
4%
28°C
$181 वॉल्यूम
1%
29°C या अधिक
$166 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for September 6 point to a daily maximum near 25°C under cloudy skies with rain developing later, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 24–25°C. Persistent cloud cover limits solar heating while precipitation and northeasterly flow introduce evaporative cooling and marine air, keeping peaks below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 29°C. Ensemble model spreads and the precise timing of heaviest rain introduce modest uncertainty around the exact maximum, supporting the tight clustering between 23°C and 26°C outcomes observed in trader positioning. Updated JMA guidance and short-range model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,575समाप्ति तिथि
6 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for September 6 point to a daily maximum near 25°C under cloudy skies with rain developing later, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 24–25°C. Persistent cloud cover limits solar heating while precipitation and northeasterly flow introduce evaporative cooling and marine air, keeping peaks below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 29°C. Ensemble model spreads and the precise timing of heaviest rain introduce modest uncertainty around the exact maximum, supporting the tight clustering between 23°C and 26°C outcomes observed in trader positioning. Updated JMA guidance and short-range model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$8,575समाप्ति तिथि
6 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for September 6 point to a daily maximum near 25°C under cloudy skies with rain developing later, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 24–25°C. Persistent cloud cover limits solar heating while precipitation and northeasterly flow introduce evaporative cooling and marine air, keeping peaks below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 29°C. Ensemble model spreads and the precise timing of heaviest rain introduce modest uncertainty around the exact maximum, supporting the tight clustering between 23°C and 26°C outcomes observed in trader positioning. Updated JMA guidance and short-range model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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