**Divergent short-range model guidance on maximum temperature for September 2 drives the tightly bunched Polymarket odds around 27–29 °C.** Numerical weather prediction ensembles show a warm, humid southwesterly flow with afternoon convective development; the precise high hinges on the timing and coverage of thunderstorms, which can suppress or allow brief peaks in insolation. GFS and similar runs suggest afternoon readings potentially reaching 29–31 °C before cooling from showers, while other guidance caps the peak nearer 26–28 °C under thicker cloud. This uncertainty, typical of late-summer instability, explains why no single outcome exceeds 31 % implied probability and why 28 °C currently leads. Updated model runs and real-time observations on September 2 will narrow the range before market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2 सितंबर को टोरंटो में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
2 सितंबर को टोरंटो में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
28°C 31%
29°C 25%
27°C 21%
30°C 9%
नया
नया
2 सित, 2026
25°C or below
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
21%
28°C
31%
29°C
25%
30°C
9%
31°C
4%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 31%
29°C 25%
27°C 21%
30°C 9%
नया
नया
2 सित, 2026
25°C or below
$156 वॉल्यूम
3%
26°C
$375 वॉल्यूम
4%
27°C
$254 वॉल्यूम
21%
28°C
$192 वॉल्यूम
31%
29°C
$424 वॉल्यूम
25%
30°C
$294 वॉल्यूम
9%
31°C
$176 वॉल्यूम
4%
32°C
$319 वॉल्यूम
3%
33°C
$196 वॉल्यूम
1%
34°C
$125 वॉल्यूम
<1%
35°C or higher
$347 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Divergent short-range model guidance on maximum temperature for September 2 drives the tightly bunched Polymarket odds around 27–29 °C.**
Numerical weather prediction ensembles show a warm, humid southwesterly flow with afternoon convective development; the precise high hinges on the timing and coverage of thunderstorms, which can suppress or allow brief peaks in insolation. GFS and similar runs suggest afternoon readings potentially reaching 29–31 °C before cooling from showers, while other guidance caps the peak nearer 26–28 °C under thicker cloud. This uncertainty, typical of late-summer instability, explains why no single outcome exceeds 31 % implied probability and why 28 °C currently leads. Updated model runs and real-time observations on September 2 will narrow the range before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,857समाप्ति तिथि
2 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Divergent short-range model guidance on maximum temperature for September 2 drives the tightly bunched Polymarket odds around 27–29 °C.**
Numerical weather prediction ensembles show a warm, humid southwesterly flow with afternoon convective development; the precise high hinges on the timing and coverage of thunderstorms, which can suppress or allow brief peaks in insolation. GFS and similar runs suggest afternoon readings potentially reaching 29–31 °C before cooling from showers, while other guidance caps the peak nearer 26–28 °C under thicker cloud. This uncertainty, typical of late-summer instability, explains why no single outcome exceeds 31 % implied probability and why 28 °C currently leads. Updated model runs and real-time observations on September 2 will narrow the range before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,857समाप्ति तिथि
2 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Divergent short-range model guidance on maximum temperature for September 2 drives the tightly bunched Polymarket odds around 27–29 °C.** Numerical weather prediction ensembles show a warm, humid southwesterly flow with afternoon convective development; the precise high hinges on the timing and coverage of thunderstorms, which can suppress or allow brief peaks in insolation. GFS and similar runs suggest afternoon readings potentially reaching 29–31 °C before cooling from showers, while other guidance caps the peak nearer 26–28 °C under thicker cloud. This uncertainty, typical of late-summer instability, explains why no single outcome exceeds 31 % implied probability and why 28 °C currently leads. Updated model runs and real-time observations on September 2 will narrow the range before market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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