Recent hawkish Federal Reserve actions, including a September 2026 25-basis-point hike to a 3.75–4.00% fed funds target amid sticky inflation, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.95–4.96% as of September 21. Strong economic growth, elevated capital demand from AI and infrastructure spending, wider fiscal deficits, and higher term premia have reinforced upward pressure on yields, which have risen roughly 80 basis points year-to-date from early 2026 lows near 3.96%. Market-implied odds now embed additional tightening through year-end, while upcoming inflation releases, labor data, and FOMC communications will shape near-term rate expectations and any potential yield retracement before 2027.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$298,236 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
4.6% से नीचे
35%
4.7% से नीचे
53%
4.1% से नीचे
7%
4.4% से नीचे
26%
4.2% से नीचे
12%
4.5% से नीचे
33%
4.3% से नीचे
17%
3.9% से नीचे
3%
3.8% से नीचे
2%
3.7% से नीचे
3%
3.6% से नीचे
2%
3.5% से नीचे
2%
3.0% से नीचे
1%
2.0% से नीचे
2%
1.0% से नीचे
1%
$298,236 वॉल्यूम
4.6% से नीचे
$691 वॉल्यूम
35%
4.7% से नीचे
$261 वॉल्यूम
53%
4.1% से नीचे
$5,061 वॉल्यूम
7%
4.4% से नीचे
$1,902 वॉल्यूम
26%
4.2% से नीचे
$941 वॉल्यूम
12%
4.5% से नीचे
$1,917 वॉल्यूम
33%
4.3% से नीचे
$1,080 वॉल्यूम
17%
3.9% से नीचे
$54,993 वॉल्यूम
3%
3.8% से नीचे
$62,785 वॉल्यूम
2%
3.7% से नीचे
$35,630 वॉल्यूम
3%
3.6% से नीचे
$8,903 वॉल्यूम
2%
3.5% से नीचे
$43,095 वॉल्यूम
2%
3.0% से नीचे
$7,958 वॉल्यूम
1%
2.0% से नीचे
$564 वॉल्यूम
2%
1.0% से नीचे
$40,696 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent hawkish Federal Reserve actions, including a September 2026 25-basis-point hike to a 3.75–4.00% fed funds target amid sticky inflation, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.95–4.96% as of September 21. Strong economic growth, elevated capital demand from AI and infrastructure spending, wider fiscal deficits, and higher term premia have reinforced upward pressure on yields, which have risen roughly 80 basis points year-to-date from early 2026 lows near 3.96%. Market-implied odds now embed additional tightening through year-end, while upcoming inflation releases, labor data, and FOMC communications will shape near-term rate expectations and any potential yield retracement before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$298,236समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent hawkish Federal Reserve actions, including a September 2026 25-basis-point hike to a 3.75–4.00% fed funds target amid sticky inflation, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.95–4.96% as of September 21. Strong economic growth, elevated capital demand from AI and infrastructure spending, wider fiscal deficits, and higher term premia have reinforced upward pressure on yields, which have risen roughly 80 basis points year-to-date from early 2026 lows near 3.96%. Market-implied odds now embed additional tightening through year-end, while upcoming inflation releases, labor data, and FOMC communications will shape near-term rate expectations and any potential yield retracement before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
वॉल्यूम
$298,236समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent hawkish Federal Reserve actions, including a September 2026 25-basis-point hike to a 3.75–4.00% fed funds target amid sticky inflation, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.95–4.96% as of September 21. Strong economic growth, elevated capital demand from AI and infrastructure spending, wider fiscal deficits, and higher term premia have reinforced upward pressure on yields, which have risen roughly 80 basis points year-to-date from early 2026 lows near 3.96%. Market-implied odds now embed additional tightening through year-end, while upcoming inflation releases, labor data, and FOMC communications will shape near-term rate expectations and any potential yield retracement before 2027.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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