Recent hotter-than-expected April CPI and PPI readings have pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.59 percent as of May 15, 2026, its highest level since mid-2025 and up roughly 20 basis points in the past week. Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target, combined with resilient economic growth and heavy Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits, has kept long-term rates elevated despite the central bank holding the federal funds rate steady near 3.50–3.75 percent. Traders are now watching upcoming releases on retail sales, jobless claims, and any signals from the newly confirmed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh for clues on whether monetary easing can still drive yields meaningfully lower before 2027.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$214,585 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
3.9%
44%
3.8%
30%
3.7%
20%
3.6%
23%
3.5%
39%
3.0%
13%
2.0%
10%
1.0%
4%
$214,585 वॉल्यूम
3.9%
$40,504 वॉल्यूम
44%
3.8%
$39,358 वॉल्यूम
30%
3.7%
$26,365 वॉल्यूम
20%
3.6%
$4,730 वॉल्यूम
23%
3.5%
$31,523 वॉल्यूम
39%
3.0%
$446 वॉल्यूम
13%
2.0%
$341 वॉल्यूम
10%
1.0%
$39,559 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent hotter-than-expected April CPI and PPI readings have pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.59 percent as of May 15, 2026, its highest level since mid-2025 and up roughly 20 basis points in the past week. Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target, combined with resilient economic growth and heavy Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits, has kept long-term rates elevated despite the central bank holding the federal funds rate steady near 3.50–3.75 percent. Traders are now watching upcoming releases on retail sales, jobless claims, and any signals from the newly confirmed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh for clues on whether monetary easing can still drive yields meaningfully lower before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$214,585समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent hotter-than-expected April CPI and PPI readings have pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.59 percent as of May 15, 2026, its highest level since mid-2025 and up roughly 20 basis points in the past week. Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target, combined with resilient economic growth and heavy Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits, has kept long-term rates elevated despite the central bank holding the federal funds rate steady near 3.50–3.75 percent. Traders are now watching upcoming releases on retail sales, jobless claims, and any signals from the newly confirmed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh for clues on whether monetary easing can still drive yields meaningfully lower before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
वॉल्यूम
$214,585समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected April CPI and PPI readings have pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.59 percent as of May 15, 2026, its highest level since mid-2025 and up roughly 20 basis points in the past week. Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target, combined with resilient economic growth and heavy Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits, has kept long-term rates elevated despite the central bank holding the federal funds rate steady near 3.50–3.75 percent. Traders are now watching upcoming releases on retail sales, jobless claims, and any signals from the newly confirmed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh for clues on whether monetary easing can still drive yields meaningfully lower before 2027.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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