Waymo’s May 13 expansion of its robotaxi service area to more than 1,400 square miles across exactly 11 U.S. cities anchors trader sentiment around the 11-city outcome at 37% implied probability. The move, which immediately widened coverage in Miami and prepared similar growth in Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and the San Francisco Bay Area, follows February launches that brought the total from 10 to 11. With only six weeks remaining until June 30, queued 2026 targets such as Denver, Las Vegas, and San Diego still require additional mapping, regulatory approvals, and fleet scaling that historically take several months. The modest 14.5% on 12+ reflects this compressed timeline and the absence of any confirmed pre-summer debuts, while lower buckets capture the low risk of service contractions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया11 42%
12+ 17%
9 8.1%
7 5.6%
$162,732 वॉल्यूम
$162,732 वॉल्यूम
≤5
5%
6
2%
7
6%
8
5%
9
8%
10
5%
11
42%
12+
15%
11 42%
12+ 17%
9 8.1%
7 5.6%
$162,732 वॉल्यूम
$162,732 वॉल्यूम
≤5
5%
6
2%
7
6%
8
5%
9
8%
10
5%
11
42%
12+
15%
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Waymo’s May 13 expansion of its robotaxi service area to more than 1,400 square miles across exactly 11 U.S. cities anchors trader sentiment around the 11-city outcome at 37% implied probability. The move, which immediately widened coverage in Miami and prepared similar growth in Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and the San Francisco Bay Area, follows February launches that brought the total from 10 to 11. With only six weeks remaining until June 30, queued 2026 targets such as Denver, Las Vegas, and San Diego still require additional mapping, regulatory approvals, and fleet scaling that historically take several months. The modest 14.5% on 12+ reflects this compressed timeline and the absence of any confirmed pre-summer debuts, while lower buckets capture the low risk of service contractions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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